Royale Capital™
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GOLD (XAU/USD) MARKET UPDATE – Trading around $3,380–$3,385 on safe-haven interest. – Current chart zones: $3,365–$3,375 (decisional), $3,350–$3,360 (order block). – Israel–Iran tensions and the Fed meeting are key market drivers. Potential outcomes: – Bullish: If price holds above $3,375, target $3,440+. – Bearish: If support breaks, price could revisit $3,300–$3,350.
*Kenyan Market Brief – Monday, June 16, 2025* 🇰🇪 *Macro & Policy Update* * GDP Forecast Lowered: The Central Bank of Kenya trimmed its 2025 growth forecast to 5.2% and 2026 to 5.4%, cutting the policy rate to 9.75%—a steady but cautious move aimed at economic support. * Budget Strategy: No new taxes proposed in the June budget. Instead, it targets fiscal discipline via base broadening and spending cuts to reduce the deficit to ~4.5% of GDP. *Market Performance* * Equity Indices: In the week ending June 12, Nairobi's main indices rose—NASI by +9.2%, NSE 25 by +5.0%, NSE 20 by +2.4%. Turnover surged 167%, equity volume jumped 90%, reflecting strong investor activity * Treasury Bills & Bonds: The recent 91-, 182-, and 364-day T-bill tenders were oversubscribed (bid-cover ~237%), with yields declining—signalling demand amid lower policy rates * FX Market: The shilling steadied at ~KES 128.90–129.40/USD, supported by a stable trade environment and remittance inflows. *📉 Sector & Liquidity Trends* Banking Sector: Increased lending remains a concern due to elevated debt ratios and cautious credit extensions Private Sector Growth: The April PMI hit a 27-month high (~52.0), led by robust activity in services, agriculture, and construction—though future sentiment is subdued Capital Market Pulse: NSE equity turnover hit KES 18.4 bn (vs 8.9 bn prior week); bond turnover rose ~19%; Eurobond yields eased slightly *What to Track* * Budget outcomes: Monitor for clarity on revenue and deficit plans. * Private sector lending: Will new policy action ease credit constraints? * Global sentiment correlation: Middle East tensions may boost shilling stability via safe-haven inflows. * NSE Volume Trends: Sustained foreign participation could fuel further equity rally. Kenya’s economy and markets show signs of resilience: supporting rates, strong investor activity, and liquidity demand. Watch upcoming budget execution and credit flows—they’ll shape the next phase of economic recovery.
> Gold trade posted on telegram and we are now trailing our stop loss
*📈 U.S. Tech Stock Summary – May 20, 2025* 🧠 Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Closing Price (May 19): $126.33 Daily Change: -2.46% Volume: ~72 million shares Palantir's stock experienced a decline, closing at $126.33 on May 19. This downward movement aligns with a broader market pullback. Despite this, the stock has seen a 57% gain year-to-date, leading some analysts to suggest it may be overvalued at current levels. *🍏 Apple Inc. (AAPL)* Closing Price (May 19): $208.78 Daily Change: -1.17% Volume: ~45 million shares Apple Investor Relations Apple's shares dipped to $208.78 on May 19. Concerns have arisen regarding potential overvaluation, with some analysts pointing to a $20 billion revenue risk as a possible catalyst for a future correction. *📦 Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)* Closing Price (May 19): $206.16 Daily Change: +0.28% Volume: ~34 million shares StockAnalysis Amazon's stock saw a modest increase, closing at $206.16 on May 19. Analysts maintain a bullish outlook, citing the company's strong fundamentals and resilience amid tariff uncertainties. *👓 Meta Platforms Inc. (META)* Closing Price (May 19): $640.43 Daily Change: +0.01% Volume: ~9.5 million shares Meta's stock remained relatively stable, closing at $640.43 on May 19. The company continues to benefit from strong advertising revenue and expanding margins, contributing to its positive performance. *🚗 Tesla Inc. (TSLA)* Closing Price (May 19): $342.09 Daily Change: -2.25% Volume: ~88 million shares Tesla's shares declined to $342.09 on May 19, breaking a four-week winning streak. The drop coincides with the announcement of Xiaomi's upcoming YU7 electric SUV launch in China, which could intensify competition for Tesla’s Model Y. For further insights or specific stock analyses, feel free to ask!
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