K KARTHIK RAJA
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About K KARTHIK RAJA
FINANCIAL RESEARCH CONSULTANT STOCK MARKET TRAINING NISM CERTIFIED RESEARCH ANALYST Disclaimer for This This Channel is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Stock market investments carry significant risks, including loss of principal. Past performance isn't indicative of future results. Before investing: Do your own research. Assess your goals, risk tolerance, and finances. Consult a financial advisor if needed. This training does not recommend buying, selling, or holding securities. We are not liable for any financial loss or damage from using this information. By participating, you agree to this disclaimer
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*NIFTY50 Market Breadth Analysis:* - 16.06.2025 * Short-term: *Mildly positive*, indicating *short-term consolidation* or slight weakening. * Medium-term: *Strong medium-term momentum*, suggesting *market is still healthy* beneath surface. *NIFTY50 Outlook Summary:* * Short-term momentum is cooling off – watch for *Sector rotation or profit booking*. * Medium-term uptrend remains intact *Review & Actionable Insight:* * *Trend:* Sideways-to-Bullish (mild caution in near term). * *Ideal Strategy:* Focus on quality stocks
*NIFTY INDEX Wait for breakout above ₹24,900 with volume for long positions; otherwise, stay cautious : 16.06.2025* * NSE | NIFTY 50 | CMP ₹24,718 * Current Trend: Weak to sideways bias with recent bounce from key support * Trading Zone: ₹24,450 – ₹25,000 * Trade Suitability: Sideways with bearish bias (wait for breakout confirmation) * Intraday Potential: Mild upside toward ₹24,850 if opens gap-up * Intraday View: Sideways to positive bias unless breaks below ₹24,450 * Required Volume: Not yet satisfied for bullish breakout * Trader Approach: Wait for breakout above ₹24,900 with volume for long positions; otherwise, stay cautious *CHART OUTLOOK & PREDICTION* * Nifty shows weakness after breaching short-term EMAs. However, ₹24,450 has held as strong support. The index needs to reclaim ₹24,900 with volume for bullish momentum. Failure to do so may push it toward ₹24,370. Chart suggests indecisiveness with a mild bearish tilt. *FUNDAMENTAL CATALYST* * Geopolitical tension between Israel-Iran and global risk-off sentiment are weighing on equities. However, resilient domestic macros and stable oil prices could limit downside. Upcoming China data and global cues will influence directional clarity. *UPCOMING EVENTS – CATALYST:* * Global: China macro data, Fed commentary * Domestic: No major negative event * Net Bias: Neutral to mildly positive *SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS:* * Support: ₹24,450 / ₹24,370 * Resistance: ₹24,850 / ₹25,000 / ₹25,150
*Nifty 50 Reclaims Momentum Near 24,950: Bullish Reversal or Trap?" - 17.05.2025* * Stock Exchange: NSE * Stock Name: Nifty 50 Index * Current Market Price (CMP):* ₹24,946.50 *Current Trend Summary:* * Nifty shows signs of a bullish reversal after a sharp dip; strong buying observed near 20 EMA. *Chart Outlook & Prediction:* * The index bounced back from key moving averages and is trading above short-term EMAs, hinting at bullish momentum. If it sustains above ₹25,000, it can test higher levels like ₹25,200 and ₹25,450. Reversal confirmed above upper Bollinger Band breakout. *Upcoming Events / Catalysts:* * Positive: FII buying trend and pre-budget optimism * Negative: Global inflation data or interest rate comments (Fed/ECB) *Support and Resistance:* * Support: ₹24,800 / ₹24,600 / ₹24,400 * Resistance: ₹25,000 / ₹25,200 / ₹25,450 *Trend, Volume, Dow Theory Analysis:* * Trend: Short-term bullish above 20 EMA * Volume: Volume spike on last green candle signals strength * Dow Theory: Higher low formation; potential uptrend continuation
*Markets Likely to Open Flat Amid Israel-Iran Tensions; Key Nifty & Sensex Levels to Watch on June 17* * * Sensex and Nifty likely to open flat on June 17, as lingering Iran-Israel tensions weigh on investor sentiment. * Markets closed strong on June 16, despite escalating geopolitical concerns in West Asia. * India VIX dropped by 1.61%, settling at 14.83. A decline below 13.5 could signal improved market stability and a bullish outlook. * At 7:30 am, GIFT Nifty was trading near 25,000, showing a marginal rise of 0.02%. * Geopolitical tensions escalate as former US President Donald Trump urges Americans to leave Tehran after Israel warns of potential fresh strikes. * Iran signals willingness to de-escalate, according to reports from Middle Eastern and European officials via The Wall Street Journal. * Tehran may consider negotiations, provided the US stays out of any military action. * Iran seeks mediation from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Oman, asking them to persuade Trump to press Israel for an immediate ceasefire * On June 16, markets gained nearly 1% with strong buying in large-cap and blue-chip stocks, reflecting a flight to safety among investors.
*Top 10 Stocks to Watch Out Today* - 13.06.2025 *NTPC* * Commissioned 660 MW Unit-3 at Barh, raising total capacity to 82,028 MW (Group level). *Jubilant Food* * Promoter Bhartia family to sell stakes via block deals in Jubilant Food, Pharmova, Ingrevia. *HCL Tech* * Selected as strategic engineering partner for Volvo Cars' future projects. *Torrent Power* * Secured 300 MW wind project LOA from SECI worth ₹2,650 crore. *Asian Paints* * Reliance offloaded 3.5 crore shares at ₹2,201 each, retaining 87 lakh shares. *SEPC* * Won ₹650 crore EPC solar project under PM-KUSUM scheme in Maharashtra. *ICRA* * Acquiring Bengaluru-based Fintellix for \$26 million to enhance risk & reporting solutions. *Talbros Auto* * Bagged ₹580 crore orders across EV, export, and domestic segments including key JV wins. *Sasken Tech* * Partnered with Microsoft MDEP post Borqs buy to deliver next-gen IoT & smart devices solutions. *Schneider Infra* * Tax demand reduced to ₹3.05 crore post GST order rectification, limiting financial impact.
*Global Market Updates* - 17.06.2025 * GIFT Nifty indicates a flat to negative start for Indian markets. * Iran seeks ceasefire through mediation by Oman, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia. * Israeli airstrikes reportedly damage Iran’s Natanz uranium enrichment facility. * Donald Trump urges Iranians to evacuate Tehran, raising geopolitical tensions. * Trump to exit G7 summit early due to the escalating Middle East crisis. * Asian markets trade higher, as investors weigh the impact of the conflict. * Bank of Japan’s policy decision awaited, adding to market caution. * US futures dip following Trump’s Tehran evacuation advisory. * Wall Street ended higher overnight, supported by cooling crude oil prices. * Two-day US Federal Reserve meeting starts today, with markets eyeing outcomes. * European markets closed in the green on Monday. * US 10-year Treasury yield rises to 4.45%, reflecting cautious optimism. * US Dollar remains volatile, as focus stays on geopolitics and central bank decisions. * Oil prices rebound after Trump's evacuation warning stokes supply concerns. * Gold prices soften, with attention on global tensions and the upcoming Fed meet.
*Nifty Bank Below Key EMA Support – Bulls Need Urgency or More Weakness Ahead* 18th June 2025 * Stock Exchange (NSE) * Stock Name: Nifty Bank Index * Current Market Price (CMP): ₹55,714.15 * Current Trend* : Short-term weakness after rejection from upper Bollinger Band; testing critical 20 EMA zone. *Bullish or Bearish Dominance?* : * Bearish dominance – Price slipped below 20 EMA and formed a bearish candle with weak volume support. *Chart Outlook & Prediction* * Nifty Bank saw resistance at 56,800 and is currently testing 20 EMA. A breakdown below 55,500 could trigger a fall toward 54,800–54,400 zones. On the upside, recovery above 56,200 is essential for any bullish strength. Traders should remain cautious and watch for volume confirmation before positioning aggressively. *Upcoming Events (Catalyst):* * Positive: RBI policy tone, large-cap bank guidance updates * Negative: Global rate hike fears, tracking nervousness due to Iran-Israel conflict *Support and Resistance:* * Support: 55,500 / 54,800 / 54,462 | Resistance: 56,200 / 56,800 / 57,200
*Global Cues | GIFT Nifty Trades with Positive Bias; Crude, Gold Rise* - 16.06.2025 * Israel targeted multiple energy facilities in Iran over the weekend. * Iran-Israel conflict escalates into the 4th consecutive day, with no resolution in sight. * Iran refuses ceasefire talks while under Israeli attack. * Asian markets rise despite mounting geopolitical tensions. * GIFT Nifty trades with a positive bias, indicating strong start for Indian equities. * US futures rebound after sharp losses on Wall Street last Friday. * Major US indices dropped over 1% on Friday amid rising conflict concerns. * Wall Street ends the week with losses as Middle East tensions escalate. * European markets declined Friday following Israel's air strikes on Iran. * US 10-year Treasury yield climbs to 4.41%. * US Dollar strengthens on increased safe-haven buying. * Crude oil prices surge due to ongoing Israel-Iran conflict. * Gold prices rally on strong safe-haven demand.
*GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE* - 13.06.2025 * Israel Conducts Airstrikes On Iran, Netanyahu Says Targeted Nuclear Programme * Oil Prices Jump More Than 8% After Israel Airstrike On Iran * US Futures Down 600 Pts After Israel Airstrike On Iran * US Mkt Rebounds With Minor Gains, S&P 500 Up Nearly 0.4% * GIFT Nifty Trading At A Discount Of Nearly 300 Pts From Nifty Fut Thursday Close * US Is Not Involved In Israeli Strikes Against Iran, Says US State Secy * Israel Defence Minister Declares State Of Emergency * Bitcoin Sinks As Israel Escalates Iran Standoff With Airstrikes * Trump Ordered To Return Control Of California National Guard To Governor * Trump Says US Will Have 'Golden Share' In US Steel After Deal With Nippon * European Mkts End Lower On Tariff Tensions & Weak UK Eco Data, DAX Down Nearly 1% * Gold Surges After Israel Attacks Iran's Nuclear Program, Now Above $3,400/oz * Asian Markets In Red In Early Trade Amid Israel-Iran Conflict, Nikkei Down Over 1%