
K KARTHIK RAJA
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About K KARTHIK RAJA
FINANCIAL RESEARCH CONSULTANT STOCK MARKET TRAINING NISM CERTIFIED RESEARCH ANALYST Disclaimer for This This Channel is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Stock market investments carry significant risks, including loss of principal. Past performance isn't indicative of future results. Before investing: Do your own research. Assess your goals, risk tolerance, and finances. Consult a financial advisor if needed. This training does not recommend buying, selling, or holding securities. We are not liable for any financial loss or damage from using this information. By participating, you agree to this disclaimer
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*XAUUSD : Short-term: Overdone | 6–10% correction* (4 to 8 weeks) | Cmp -$3298.48 | Long-term: *Mega trend* intact, can go above *$4,000 : 28.05.2025 *SPECIAL TURNING POINT : XAUUSD : Short-term: Overdone | 6–10% correction* *Bearish View* for *XAUUSD (Spot Gold)| Time to book Profits | Expect 6-10% Correction* : 28 May 2025 *Key Notes* * XAUUSD (Spot Gold) - Time to Book Profits - 28.05.2025 * Short-term: Overdone, expect Profit booking *6–10% correction* (4 to 8 weeks) * Long-term: *Mega trend* intact, can go above *$4,000* ( Use the dip as opportunity to reenter) *Stock Exchange*: Forex / Commodity (Spot Gold) *Stock Name*: XAUUSD (Spot Gold) *Current Market Price (CMP)*: $3298.48 *Current Trend Summary*: Bullish structure showing signs of weakening; consolidation indicates momentum loss *Trading Zone Summary*: $3100–$3350 is a key battle zone. Breakdown below $3100 signals short-term trend reversal. *Trade Suitability*: Sell on breakdown below $3100 or on rejection near $3350 resistance **How Traders Can Approach**: Aggressive traders may initiate short positions if price sustains below $3100, using a tight stoploss above $3180. *Chart Outlook & Prediction* * Gold’s recent price action indicates a potential topping pattern near $3350. Weekly candles show indecision and weakening momentum, with RSI diverging and volume shrinking. A decisive breakdown below $3100 may lead to a healthy correction toward $2650, making this a high-risk phase for fresh long positions. *Fundamental Catalyst* * A stronger US dollar, decreasing geopolitical risk, or hawkish Fed signals could pressure gold prices. Additionally, if inflation cools or interest rate hikes are hinted, safe-haven demand for gold may diminish, pushing prices lower. Institutional profit booking could further accelerate downside momentum. *Support and Resistance Levels* * Resistance: $3350 and $3450 * Support: $3100, followed by $2950, $2800, and $2650 *Breakdown Strategy (Bearish)* * Entry: Below $3100 | Stoploss: $3180 * Target 1 - $2950 | Target 2 - $2800 | Target 3 - $2650 *Caution Notes* * All bullishness negates below $3100 * All bearishness negates above $3350 *Overall Conclusion* * Gold looks vulnerable to a correction. It is suitable for a *bearish approach only if $3100 is broken* on the downside. Until then, remain cautious. Avoid long trades unless strong buying resurfaces above $3350. This setup favors disciplined, risk-managed shorting opportunities. If gold breaks below $3100, short opportunities arise with targets of $2950–$2650. Traders should approach with caution and discipline. Use stoplosses and confirm with momentum indicators before initiating trades. Until a clear breakout above $3350 or breakdown below $3100, avoid aggressive positions. *Trading Strategy Note* * We recommend entering the trade strictly *within the specified levels*. Avoid initiating trades outside the range, as it compromises risk/reward balance and increases the probability of whipsaws. *Disclaimer : All views are purely technical and educational. Market conditions can change rapidly. Always use stoploss and do your own due diligence before trading.*

Global Cues | GIFT Nifty Indicates Flat Start - 28.05.2025 * Asian markets edge higher, tracking Wall Street gains following EU tariff delay. * GIFT Nifty points to a muted opening for Indian markets. * US stock futures trade mixed after an overnight rally. * Wall Street surges ahead of key Nvidia earnings announcement. * Dow Jones ends four-session losing streak. * Nasdaq jumps nearly 2.5%, leading tech-driven rebound. * Investors eye upcoming FOMC meeting minutes for policy clues. * European markets close higher; Germany’s DAX hits fresh record high. * US 10-year Treasury yield eases slightly to 4.44%. * US dollar strengthens on upbeat consumer confidence data. * Gold futures rise modestly; Brent crude holds above $84.

*NIFTY METAL Eyes 15% Rally | Cmp - 9351| Targets 9800/10200/10600 - 29.05.2025* SPECIAL REPORT : NIFTY METAL INDEX | 3 to 12 Months ** Entire Metal Basket Stocks Looks Attractive* Breakout Strategy (Bullish Bias) * Entry Above: 9,500 | Stoploss: 9,230 * Targets: 1. 9,800 | 2. 10,200 | 3. 10,600 ** Attractive Metal Basket Stocks (Medium-Term Candidates) ** 1 HINDCOPPER : Cmp :- 251 Close price as on 29.05.2025 2 HINDZINC : Cmp :- 466 Close price as on 29.05.2025 3 NATIONALUM : Cmp :- 184 Close price as on 29.05.2025 4 SAIL : Cmp :- 130 Close price as on 29.05.2025 5 KIOCL : Cmp :- 305 Close price as on 29.05.2025 6 MIDHANI : Cmp :- 436 Close price as on 29.05.2025 7 COALINDIA : Cmp :- 399 Close price as on 29.05.2025 8 APLAPOLLO : Cmp :- 1,825 Close price as on 29.05.2025 9 JINDALSTEL : Cmp :- 975.0 Close price as on 29.05.2025 10 JSL : Cmp :- 671.7 Close price as on 29.05.2025 11 JSWSTEEL : Cmp :- 1,009.9 Close price as on 29.05.2025 12 HINDALCO : Cmp :- 651.0 Close price as on 29.05.2025 13 LLOYDSME : Cmp :- 1,414.2 Close price as on 29.05.2025 14 TATASTEEL : Cmp :- 163.2 Close price as on 29.05.2025

*BANKNIFTY INDEX | Cmp -55618| Targets 57000/58300/60000* - 29.05.2025 *SPECIAL REPORT : BANKNIFTY INDEX | 4 to 6 Weeks )* *Bank Nifty Eyes 60,000: Riding the Bullish Momentum with Volume Confirmation* *Stock Exchange**: NSE *Stock Name**: Bank Nifty Index *CMP (Current Market Price)**: 55,618.75 *Current Trend Summary**: Strong bullish continuation with higher highs and higher lows *Trading Zone Summary**: Positioned above all major moving averages – strong support from 50 & 200 MA *Trade Suitability**: Buy – Strong uptrend, confirmed by price and indicators *Required Volume**: Satisfied – consistent and gradually increasing *How Traders Can Approach?**: Wait for minor pullback to 54,800–55,000 for entry; trail SL for positional trades *Target Estimated**: 60,000 *Time Frame to Achieve Target**: 4 to 6 weeks *Chart Outlook & Prediction* * Bank Nifty has broken above consolidation and is trading above all key moving averages with strong price structure. The Bollinger Bands are widening, RSI is trending upward, and MACD has a fresh bullish crossover. This points to a potential sustained rally toward 60,000 in the coming weeks unless macro or sector risks emerge. *Fundamental Catalyst* * Continued growth in credit offtake, robust Q4 banking results, falling NPAs, and the RBI’s stable policy have provided fundamental support. Large-cap private banks are leading the charge, supported by high FII flows and strong earnings visibility. Improved macroeconomic sentiment is acting as a tailwind. *Support and Resistance Levels* * Support: 54,800 / 53,300 | Resistance: 56,900 / 58,300 / 60,000 *Breakout Strategy (Bullish)* * Entry: Above 55,500 (current level confirmed) | Stoploss: 54,400 * Target 1: 57,000 | Target 2: 58,300 | Target 3: 60,000 *Breakdown Strategy (Bearish)* Entry: Below 53,200 | Stoploss: 54,000 Target 1: 52,000 | Target 2: 50,800 | Target 3: 48,800 *Caution Note – All Positivity Negates Below*: 53,200 *Caution Note – All Negativity Negates Above*: 55,500 *Overall Conclusion*: Good for trade * Justification: Bullish momentum with volume support, RSI above 60, MACD bullish crossover, and breakout from price consolidation confirm continuation. Avoid only if it closes below 53,200 on weekly basis. *Final Conclusion – How Traders Can Approach* * Buy on dips between 54,800–55,200 with SL below 53,200. Trail stop as the price moves up. Use partial booking near 58,000 and hold for 60,000 with extended view. Favor positional trades with momentum alignment. *Trading Strategy* * We recommend entering the trade strictly in the range of 54,800 to 55,500. Avoid fresh longs above 56,800 without a dip. This ensures favorable risk/reward and disciplined entry. *Disclaimer: This is a technical opinion and not financial advice. Consult your financial advisor before investing.*

*Nifty at 25,000: Will the Bull Rally Continue or Pause Before Elections?* - 19.05.2025 * Nifty 50 – CMP: 25,019.80 * Current Trend : Short-term uptrend continues with strength; price above key moving averages and supported by volume. * Trading Zone : Between 24,600 – 25,250. Sustained move above 25,250 will trigger bullish breakout; below 24,600 may attract selling. * Trade Suitability : Buy on dips (bullish bias) – not suitable for shorts until price breaks below 24,600. *Chart Outlook & Prediction* * Nifty is trading above key moving averages with increasing volume and positive indicators. RSI is above 60, showing strength. The MACD is in a bullish crossover, and CCI is positive. As long as price sustains above 24,600, trend remains upward with potential to test 25,500–25,750 in near term. *Fundamental Catalyst* * Robust Q4 earnings from large-cap stocks, strong FII inflows, and expectations of political stability ahead of general elections are fueling sentiment. Lower inflation and better-than-expected macro indicators (like IIP, GST collections) are also aiding optimism. Global cues are stable, and crude oil softness adds to bullish triggers. *Support and Resistance Levels* * Support Levels: 24,600 / 24,300 / 24,000 * Resistance Levels: 25,250 / 25,500 / 25,750

*NIFTY METAL Eyes 15% Rally | Cmp - 9351| Targets 9800/10200/10600* - 29.05.2025 *SPECIAL REPORT : NIFTYMETAL INDEX | 3 to 12 Months* *Nifty Metal Index Eyes 15% Rally as Breakout Gains Target ₹10,800 (Medium term 3-12 Months* - 29.05.2025 * Entire Metal Basket Stocks Looks Attractive *Chart Name:* Nifty Metal Index *Current Market Price:* 9,351.65 *Current Trend:* Bullish continuation forming higher lows, testing major resistance. *Chart Outlook & Prediction* * Nifty Metal is consolidating just below major resistance near 9,400–9,500. Weekly indicators like RSI and MACD show bullish strength building, supported by price staying above all major moving averages. A sustained move above 9,500 could open the gates to test the all-time highs around 10,600 and beyond in the coming weeks. *Upcoming Events* * Global Metal Demand Outlook * China PMI and Infrastructure Stimulus Data * Indian Manufacturing PMI & Budget Commentary * US Fed Policy Signals *Support & Resistance Levels* * Support: 8,930 / 8,600 / 8,300 * Resistance: 9,500 / 9,800 / 10,600 *Trend, Volume & Dow Theory* * Trend: Bullish short to mid-term, long-term bullish continuation intact * Volume: Gradually rising on green candles—healthy accumulation * Dow Theory: Higher lows and higher highs—classic uptrend structure resuming after correction *Breakout Strategy (Bullish Bias)* * Entry Above: 9,500 | Stoploss: 9,230 * Targets: 1. 9,800 | 2. 10,200 | 3. 10,600 *Breakdown Strategy (Bearish Bias)* * Entry Below: 8,900 | Stoploss: 9,150 * Targets: 1. 8,600 | 2. 8,300 | 3. 7,950 *Final Takeaway* * Metal index is at a decision point. Swing traders can look for a breakout trade above 9,500 while keeping stop-loss tight. Investors may consider staggered accumulation if price sustains above 9,000. Avoid fresh shorts unless key support zones break decisively. *Caution Note* * All Positivity Negates Below: 8,900 * All Negativity Negates Above: 9,500 *Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Always consult a certified financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions. Markets carry risk; trade responsibly.*

*SPECIAL REPORT : NIFTY & SECTOR OUTLOOK* - 29.05.2025 *Nifty Outlook for the Upcoming Months:* * The bull market remains robust, supported by strong domestic liquidity and resilience amid global uncertainties—factors that are sustaining the market's upward momentum. Nifty is trading steadily within the 24,500–25,000 band, showcasing strength after a sharp rally. In the near term, the index is expected to move towards the *25,600–25,800* range, with a strong possibility of hitting new lifetime highs within this calendar year. *Overall, market momentum continues to favor the bulls.* *Sectors to watch for bullish* 1. *Financial Services* (Banks, NBFCs, Insurance, Housing Finance) * Bank Nifty target: *58300/60,000* 2. *Metals*: Expecting *10-15% upside* from current levels 3. *Real Estate*: Potential *10–20% upside* 4. *Auto & Auto Ancillaries*: Poised for *Good returns* 5. *Insurance (Private)* : "Multi-year structural" * Stock names like *HDFC Life, ICICI Prudential, ICICI Lombard, SBI Life, MFSL* 6. *Power & Infrastructure (PSU & Non-PSU)* : Strong trend and participation seen 7. *Midcap/Smallcap ETFs* (e.g., Nifty Midcap Smallcap 400 index ETF) * For passive investors; ensures quality and diversification

*Nifty 50 at Crossroads: Will Bulls Conquer 25,000 or Bears Drag it to 23,200?* * Nifty 50 Index (CMP: 24,578.35) * Current Trend : Nifty shows a short-term overbought condition after a sharp rally, facing resistance near all-time highs. * Trading Zone : Currently stuck between 24,150–24,850, a decisive breakout or breakdown will define the next trend. * Trade Suitability : Sideways to Cautiously Bearish — Not ideal for fresh longs unless a breakout above 24,857 is confirmed. *Chart Outlook & Prediction* * Nifty faced sharp rejection from the upper Bollinger Band and previous resistance at \~24,857. With bearish engulfing near highs and increased volume, short-term correction is likely unless bulls defend the 24,150 level. RSI appears stretched, and candles suggest profit-booking. A pullback towards 23,750–24,000 can’t be ruled out. *Fundamental Catalyst* * US CPI inflation came in softer-than-expected, which is mildly supportive globally. However, local uncertainties including election-related volatility, profit-booking after earnings season, and rising US bond yields may pressure equities. The next domestic trigger would be macroeconomic data and global risk sentiment. Watch out for FII flows and RBI cues. *Support and Resistance Levels* * Resistance: 24,750 / 24,857 / 25,215 | Support: 24,119 / 23,750 / 23,214 * Major Breakdown Zone: Below 23,750 | Major Breakout Zone: Above 24,857 *Breakout Strategy (Bullish)* * Entry: Above 24,860 (Sustained) | Stoploss: 24,500 * Target 1: 25,215 | Target 2: 25,500 | Target 3: 25,750 *Breakdown Strategy (Bearish)* * Entry: Below 24,100 | Stoploss: 24,450 * Target 1: 23,750 | Target 2: 23,214 | Target 3: 22,965 *Caution Note – All Positivity Negates Below* : 24,100 (Break and Close Below) *Caution Note – All Negativity Negates Above* : 24,857 (Break and Close Above) *Overall Conclusion* * Cautious Trading Recommended. Wait for a breakout or breakdown before taking directional bets. Risk-reward favors short trades if resistance holds. *Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Always consult with a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Markets are subject to risk.*