Agriwatch Market Intelligence
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*Agriwatch Services* We offer a comprehensive suite of services to support informed decision-making in the agricultural sector: *Services* - *Customized Reports*: Expertly crafted reports tailored to your specific needs and requirements. - *Consulting Services*: Strategic guidance and advice from experienced professionals. - *Market Intelligence*: In-depth analysis of market trends, dynamics, and forecasts. *Research Capabilities* - *Spot Market Prices*: Real-time pricing information for key commodities. - *Research Reports*: Comprehensive studies on market trends, analysis, and forecasts. - *News & Commentaries*: Expert insights and analysis on market developments. - *Technical Analysis*: Advanced technical analysis for traders and investors. *Contact Information* For more information on our services, please contact us: Avneesh Raman Email : [email protected]
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Posts
*Soybean Market Still Favors Brazil Despite Tariff Relief* •A temporary U.S.–China tariff truce is unlikely to revive American soybean sales in China, as Brazil still offers cheaper prices. Under the deal, the U.S. will cut tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30% for three months, while China lowers duties on U.S. imports from 125% to 10%.
*Vietnam Pepper Prices Hold Steady for Third Consecutive Day* •As of May 14, Vietnam's pepper prices remain stable for the third day, ranging from 151,000 to 152,000 VND/Kg. •Prices are 151,000 VND/Kg in Central Highlands provinces, slightly higher in the Southeast, with Binh Phuoc at 151,500 VND/Kg and Ba Ria - Vung Tau and Dong Nai at 152,000 VND/Kg.
*Tur Market Highlight* •Tur prices have recently increased, driven by robust demand from millers, tender participants and strong international markets, even though overall prices remain lower compared to last year.
*Robust Procurement Pushes Wheat Stocks to 3-Year High* •According to the latest update from the Food Corporation of India (FCI), wheat stocks in the central pool as of May 1, 2025, stood at 356.72 lakh metric tonnes (LMT), a 37% increase compared to the same period last year. This level is not only the highest in the past three years but also exceeds both the 5-year and 10-year averages, reflecting a strong procurement season. The substantial rise in stock levels is largely attributed to robust procurement, particularly from Madhya Pradesh, which leads in stockholding, followed by Punjab and Haryana. This surge enhances supply-side confidence and may help stabilize domestic wheat markets in the near term.
*Kandla CPO Market Firms Up Amid Indo-Pak Tensions and Global Support* •Crude Palm Oil prices in Kandla surged by 3% over the past week, driven by strong domestic demand and supply concerns. Ongoing Indo-Pak tensions have put pressure on port activities at Kandla Port, adding to the upward pressure on prices. •On the global front, Malaysian palm oil futures climbed nearly 2% to approach MYR 3,900 per tonne, marking a two-week high. The rally was bolstered by a temporary three-month U.S.-China tariff cut, a 9.6% increase in April shipments, and expectations of renewed buying interest from India following subdued imports. •However, the upside remains capped due to a rise in inventories and a sharp rebound in production, the highest since November.
*Indonesia Urged to Delay Palm Oil Export Levy Hike Amid Global Trade Risks* •Indonesia’s palm oil industry body, GAPKI, has asked the government to postpone the planned hike in export levies (from 3–7.5% to 4.75–10% from May 17), warning it could hurt export competitiveness amid U.S. tariff threats and rising geopolitical tensions. The move aims to fund biodiesel and replanting efforts but may weaken Indonesia’s position against Malaysia, especially in the U.S. market. GAPKI also flagged concerns over reduced buying from India and Pakistan due to ongoing regional tensions.
*Indian Rapeseed Meal Exports May Rise if China Relaxes Import Curbs* •India is looking to reclaim its share in China’s rapeseed meal market by capitalizing on its lower prices compared to the global rate. The Solvent Extractors’ Association has asked the Commerce Ministry to negotiate with China for relaxed import rules, as only three Indian facilities are currently approved to export there. With supply constraints in Canada and the EU, India has a strong chance to expand its exports if restrictions ease. •However, the oilmeal sector is facing rising competition from DDGS, an ethanol by-product increasingly used in animal feed, which may reduce demand for traditional meals like rapeseed and soybean. Although India has seen a record harvest of soybean and mustard, weak export demand due to price disparities has limited growth. In April, oilmeal exports rose slightly, led by rapeseed and soybean meal.
*Duggirala Turmeric Market Report – Crop Arrivals & Trade Dynamics* •At the Duggirala market, fresh crop arrivals are seeing strong buyer interest, with new stock consistently fetching higher prices than older inventory. This price premium is largely attributed to the superior quality of the new produce, which is meeting buyer expectations despite the season drawing to a close. •Market activity remains robust, with daily trade volumes ranging between 1,000 and 1,200 bags (each bag weighing 70 kg). Traders and farmers continue to bring in fresh produce steadily, defying typical end-of-season slowdowns. •So far, approximately 50% to 55% of the total new crop has already been traded. With harvesting still ongoing and arrivals expected to continue through June, market activity is projected to stay strong in the coming weeks. •Overall, the outlook for the Duggirala market remains positive as the season progresses toward its final phase.
*Soy Oil Strength Meets Palm Oil Recovery: Global Buyers Eye Cost Advantage* •Soybean oil prices are expected to remain elevated over the coming few months, supported by limited availability in key producing regions like the U.S. and South America and steady demand from the biodiesel sector. •Meanwhile, a rebound in palm oil production across Indonesia and Malaysia will likely sustain its price discount against soybean oil, making it a more cost-effective option in the global edible oil market. •As the price gap between the two oils widens, palm oil is poised to attract stronger interest from value-focused importers such as India, China, Pakistan, and several African countries. While soybean oil maintains solid demand fundamentals, palm oil’s relative affordability is expected to strengthen its position in global trade flows.
*Onion Price movement* •Over the last few weeks the onion wholesale prices in the benchmark markets have been moving down on account of arrival pressure of the new crops. The Average prices are expected to stay in the current range of Rs.1000 to Rs.1300 per quintal for the coming days as well. "