〽arket 〽⭕⭕D & Sunday Ki Pathashala
February 11, 2025 at 06:45 AM
The government has adjusted its fiscal policy as the markets wanted.
The RBI pivoted exactly when the market expected.
Yet, the markets remain unimpressed.
Why?
👉It’s not about the level of the yield curve.
👉It’s about the spread of the yield curve.
Look at the difference between the 10-year bond yield (6.76%) and the 3-month bond yield (6.59%)—almost no gap.
It’s a flat yield curve
A flat yield curve like this signals uncertainty.
What the RBI needs is yield curve management, ensuring a healthy spread between short-term and long-term bond yields.
It’s need to create a upward sloping curve.
With estimated inflation at 4.42%, why isn’t the RBI injecting more liquidity?
Maybe it’s supporting the Rupee—just look at the drop in forex reserves.
*~ Krushna Sharma*
#investing #markets #forex #bonds
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