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February 27, 2025 at 04:14 AM
🔆 Analysis of declining school enrollment in India based on U-DISE+ data, linking it to demographic changes and implications for India's demographic dividend.
Key Points:
âś…Declining Enrollment:
🔸15.5 million drop (6%) since 2018-19.
🔸24.51 million drop (9.45%) over the past decade.
🔸Elementary level most affected: 18.7 million drop (13.45%).
âś…Data Analysis:
🔸Decade-long data (2014-15 to 2023-24).
🔸Correlation with population changes in relevant age groups.
🔸Aadhaar seeding to eliminate multiple enrollments.
📍Government vs. Private Schools:
âś…Government schools: Significant decline, especially elementary level.
âś…Private unaided schools: Marginal increase overall, senior secondary level growth.
📍Demographic Factors:
âś…Fertility rate decline to 2.01 in 2022.
âś…Decline in school-going population (6-17 years).
âś…Shift in population bulge to older age groups.
Implications:
âś…End of demographic dividend era.
âś…Population aging before becoming rich.
âś…Shrinking working-age population.
âś…Decline in number of schools.
Social Impact:
âś…Affects poor and marginalized sections of society most.
âś…Impact on higher education in the future.
Possible Questions:
âś…Prelims: Which of the following is/are a factor(s) contributing to the decline in school enrollment in India, as per the article?
Declining fertility rate.
Aadhaar seeding to eliminate multiple enrollments.
Increase in the number of private schools.
(a) 1 only
(b) 1 and 2 only
(c) 2 and 3 only
(d) 1, 2 and 3
âś…Mains: "The declining trend in school enrollment in India, as highlighted by the U-DISE+ data, has significant socio-economic implications for the nation's future." Discuss this statement, analyzing the factors contributing to this trend and suggesting measures to mitigate its impact.
