Yieldcapitals Financial Services
Yieldcapitals Financial Services
February 13, 2025 at 03:09 AM
*13th Feb 2025 Markets outlook for the day* #usmarkets - Yesterday- US markets closed lower as Hot inflation data Blunt rate cut hopes, US consumer price index hits 3.0% in January, faster than anticipated. US futures higher as markets digest hot CPI reading. Global markets sentiment neutral. Most Asian markets trade positive to neutral in early morning hours. Indian markets sentiment neutral. Fundamental Longterm view neutral for Indian markets. Gift Nifty indicate muted opening. India VIX muted at 14.90 from 14.86 as Indian markets saw volatile session yesterday. Global currency and Bonds- US Dollar index rise to 107.75 from 107.45 as inflation data rise indicates rates to stay higher. US 10 yr Bond yields rise at 4.62 from 4.49 Global Commodities - Comex Gold rebounds off lows to $2935 from $2905 on hotter inflation. Comex Silver trade positive at $32.80 from $32.30 Comex copper trades postive at $4.70 from 4.69 on tarrif threats by trump. Brent Crudeoil trade negative to lower at $74.50 from 76.90 as Ukrine Russia peace deal might ease supply of oil. Natural Gas prices rise at 3.65 from 3.54 on colder weathers. Indian markets Derivatives data - Fii's were net sellers of  -4969Cr in cash markets in previous trading session while Dii's were net buyers of +5929Cr in cash market. Feb series Fii's are negative in index fut & added shorts in index fut to -186k contracts from -184k shorts in index fut and added net longs in stock fut. Pro traders are net buyers in index fut of +7k and net longs stock futures. Dii's were net longs in index fut of 9k and net shorts in stock futures. Retail are net positive in index futures and added longs in index fut to +189k from +169k contracts longs and net longs in stock futures. Options data - Feb Nifty Monthly expiry has highest put writing at 22800/23000 strike and 24000/23800 strikes has highest call writers. Nifty Feb Weekly expiry has highest put writing at 22900/23000 & 23400/23300 strikes has highest call writers. Bank nifty Feb Monthly expirye saw major call writing at 50000/50500 strike and major put writing seen until 48500/48000 strike. Sensex Feb weekly expiry saw major call writing at 78000/77500 strikes and Major put writing seen at 75500/75000 PCR Ratio of Nifty PCR at 0.75 from 0.70 and Bank nifty PCR at 0.79 from 0.75 Sensex PCR at 0.79 from 0.66 Indices performance - Yesterday trading session saw volatile session in broader markets with wild swings. Indian markets mixed session across sectors with negative Market breadth, Banks, Psu banks, Metals saw buying while IT, Auto, Pharma, midcaps, Smallcaps, Energy, Reality, fmcg, Consumption sectors saw selling pressure. Market news - Nifty Weekly expiry today can see volatility in markets US CPI inflation data rise unexpectedly on a faster pace, US Bond yields rise. PM Modi and US President TRUMP meeting today will be watched by markets closely. Technical view : Yesterday session saw weak session with sharp sell off in indices in 1st half and sharp rebound from important supports ofn22750/22800 zones to close negative at 23045 with negative Market breadth of 3:5 Adv:Dec Ratio. Nifty trading below 5EMA 23255 & below 10 EMA 23310 and below 20EMA 23366 & below 50 EMA 23620 Nifty range shifted to 228000-23800 zone for next few sessions ahead, Nifty major trend is neutral. Today's Nifty big support is at 22760/22805 zone & big resistance at 23365/23345 Nifty trading below 200EMA 23560 and below 200 SMA 24050 & below 100 EMA 23820 zone. Today Nifty minor support seen at 22951/22970 while major support seen at 22805/22835 While minor resistance seen at 23155/23185 zone while major resistance seen at 23225/23245 zone. Daily CPR at 23150 Weekly CPR at 23530 Monthly CPR at 23507 Nifty structure is neutral to negative in short term. Nifty fut closed negative -0.08%. Nifty fut OI at 1.80Cr with short build up & addition in OI by +1.61%., Major support 22750/810 for all long trades. Yesterday session #banknifty opened weaker ans sharp sell off in 1st half and sharp rebound from lows to close the session positive at 49479 a reversal. Major support seen at 48780/48710 zone and major resistance at 49940/49980 zone. Banknifty trades below 5 EMA of 49710 and below 10 EMA 49660 and trading below 20 EMA 49650 & above 20 SMA 49290 and below 50EMA 50140 and trading below 100EMA 50580 & Bank nifty trading just around 200EMA 50190/ below 50905 200 SMA. For today Bank nifty minor support seen at 49180/49145 zone while major support seen at 48930/48956 zone and minor resistance seen at 49630/49620 zone while major resistance seen at 49760/49780 zone Daily CPR at 49495 Weekly CPR at 49920 Monthly CPR at 49700 Bank nifty view is neutral in short term with range of 48500-50500. Bank nifty fut closed positive +0.11% with open interest at 30.40 lakhs & short covering with reduction in OI at -2.95%. Sectors to watch today- Positive/neutral- Banks, Psubank, Metals, Pharma, Telecom, fmcg, Defence sectors. Negative/neutral - IT, Financials, Reality, Consumption, Energy,Midcaps, Smallcap. Stocks to watchout today- POSITIVE- Ashokleyland, Bhartiairtel, Sbicard, Sail, Nalco, Policybazaar, Angelone, BSE, Vbl, Jubfood. NEGATIVE- Prestige, Dlf, Jiofin, Escorts, LTTS, Oberoireality, Glenmark, Sunpharma. Good morning!!! Have a Good trading day!!! 👍

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