
Yieldcapitals Financial Services
February 14, 2025 at 02:45 AM
*14th Feb 2025 Markets outlook for the day*
Happy Valentines day!!
#usmarkets - Yesterday-
US markets closed positive led by tech stocks and Nvidia and Trump delays in new tarrifs.
US futures flat as investors weigh trump tarrif plan & sticky inflation.
Global markets sentiment neutral.
Most Asian markets trade mixed in early morning hours.
Indian markets sentiment neutral trading at 17PE for 2026 Estimates.
Fundamental Longterm view neutral for Indian markets.
Gift Nifty indicate positive opening.
India VIX muted at 14.96 from 14.90 as Indian markets saw volatile session yesterday.
Global currency and Bonds-
US Dollar index falls to 106.90 from 107.75 as markets react to Russia Ukraine peace deal negotiations announced by trump.
US 10 yr Bond yields falls at 4.54 from 4.63
Global Commodities -
Comex Gold rise to $2965 from $2935 on dollar weakness.
Comex Silver trade positive at $33.30 from $32.80
Comex copper trades postive at $4.80 from 4.70 on tarrif threats by trump.
Brent Crudeoil trade muted at $75.10 from 74.60 on trump tarrif delays & Ukrine Russia peace deal might ease supply of oil.
Natural Gas prices muted at 3.64 from 3.65 on colder weathers.
Indian markets Derivatives data -
Fii's were net sellers of -2789Cr in cash markets in previous trading session while Dii's were net buyers of +2935Cr in cash market.
Feb series Fii's are negative in index fut & reduced shorts in index fut to -180k contracts from -186k shorts in index fut and added net longs in stock fut.
Pro traders are net buyers in index fut of +5k and net longs stock futures.
Dii's were net longs in index fut of +8k and net shorts in stock futures.
Retail are net positive in index futures and added longs in index fut to +169k from +189k contracts longs and net longs in stock futures.
Options data -
Feb Nifty Monthly expiry has highest put writing at 22800/23000 strike and 24000/23800 strikes has highest call writers.
Nifty Feb Weekly expiry has highest put writing at 22900/23000
& 23400/23300 strikes has highest call writers.
Bank nifty Feb Monthly expirye saw major call writing at 50000/50500 strike and major put writing seen until 48500/48000 strike.
Sensex Feb weekly expiry saw major call writing at 78000/77500 strikes and Major put writing seen at 75500/75000
PCR Ratio of Nifty PCR at 0.80 from 0.75 and Bank nifty PCR at 0.75 from 0.79
Sensex PCR at 0.77 from
0.80
Indices performance -
Yesterday trading session saw volatile session in broader markets with wild swings and last hour sell off.
Indian markets volatile session across sectors with negative Market breadth,
Pharma, Metals, Reality saw buying while
IT, Banking, Auto, midcaps, Smallcaps, Energy, fmcg, Consumption sectors saw selling pressure.
Market View & news -
PM Modi and US President TRUMP meet focus on deals in Energy, Defence, pharma sectors and 500 billion trades between countries US & India.
Hindalco reported positive numbers with beat in margins and topline.
IT sector saw sharp sell off yesterday led by largecap IT stocks which led to profit booking in Nifty.
FII's Shorting India is a big worry for our markets.
Technical view :
Yesterday session opened positive but saw weak session with sharp sell off in indices in 2nd half as markets not able to sustain higher levels to close negative at 23031 with negative Market breadth of 4:5 Adv:Dec Ratio.
Nifty trading below 5EMA 23185 & below 10 EMA 23250 and below 20EMA 23336 & below 50 EMA 23600
Nifty range shifted to 228000-23800 zone for next few sessions ahead,
Nifty major trend is neutral.
Today's Nifty big support is at 22760/22805 zone & big resistance at 23365/23345
Nifty trading below 200EMA 23560 and below 200 SMA 24050 & below 100 EMA 23805 zone. Today Nifty minor support seen at 22981/22940 while major support seen at 22805/22835 While minor resistance seen at 23155/23135 zone while major resistance seen at 23215/23185 zone.
Daily CPR at 22999
Weekly CPR at 23530
Monthly CPR at 23507
Nifty structure is neutral to negative in short term.
Nifty fut closed negative -0.13%.
Nifty fut OI at 1.75Cr with short covering & addition in OI by -2.71%., Major support 22750/810 for all long trades.
Yesterday session #banknifty opened positive but sharp sell off in 2nd half as bankex could not sustain higher levels to close negative at 49359.
Major support seen atx 48780/48710 zone and major resistance at 49940/49980 zone.
Banknifty trades below 5 EMA of 49577 and below 10 EMA 49575 and trading below 20 EMA 49610 & above 20 SMA 49320 and below 50EMA 50100 and trading below 100EMA 50560 &
Bank nifty trading just around 200EMA 50180/ below 50905 200 SMA.
For today Bank nifty minor support seen at 49160/49135 zone while major support seen at 48930/48886 zone and minor resistance seen at 49630/49580 zone while major resistance seen at 49850/49830 zone
Daily CPR at 49305
Weekly CPR at 49920
Monthly CPR at 49700
Bank nifty view is neutral in short term with range of 48500-50500.
Bank nifty fut closed negative -0.38% with open interest at 30.80 lakhs & long unwinding with addition in OI at +1.5%.
Sectors to watch today-
Positive/neutral-
Metals, Pharma, Telecom, fmcg, Reality, Defence sectors, Midcaps.
Negative/neutral -
IT, Banking, Financials, Consumption, Energy,Smallcap.
Stocks to watchout today-
POSITIVE-
Muthoothfin, Sbicard, Ipcalab, Godrejprop, Bajajfinserv, Jubfood, Sunpharma, Tatasteel, Hindalco, Ntpc.
NEGATIVE-
Voltas, VBL, Adanient, Cams, Aartiind, PIIND, Canbank, Colpal, LTIM, KPIT, LTTS.
Good morning!!!
Have a Good trading day!!! 👍