Yieldcapitals Financial Services
Yieldcapitals Financial Services
February 27, 2025 at 03:17 AM
*27th Feb 2025 Markets outlook for the day* Nifty and Bank nifty Monthly expiry today can see wild swings and volatility in markets. #usmarkets - Yesterday - US markets closed muted on in line Nvidia earnings. US futures trade flat Nvidia flat after Q4 earnings. Global markets sentiment neutral. Most Asian markets trade muted to positive in early morning trades. Indian markets closing at negative for consecutive 5 months after 28 yrs since 1996. Indian markets sentiment neutral in short term. Nifty at 18PE for 2026 Estimates and at 20PE of FY 25E Fundamental Longterm view neutral for Indian markets. Gift Nifty indicate muted opening India VIX lower at 13.72 from 14.44 as Indian markets saw volatile session to muted. Global currency and Bonds- US Dollar index rebounds at 106.54 from 106.25 on trump tarrifs statements. US 10 yr Bond yields lower at 4.28 from 4.35 on muted economic data. Global Commodities - Comex Gold prices fall from all time highs to $2926 from $2965. Comex Silver trade lower at $32.15 from $32.78 on dollar strenght. Comex copper trades muted at $4.56 from 4.54 on choppy trades. Brent Crudeoil falls to $72.30 from 74.00 as US inventories rise fuel fall. Natural Gas prices muted at 3.98 from 3.96 on choppy trades. Indian markets Derivatives data - Fii's were net sellers of  -3529Cr in cash markets in previous trading session while Dii's were net buyers too of +3031Cr in cash market. Feb series Fii's are negative in index fut & added shorts in index fut to -198k contracts from -200k shorts in index fut and added net longs in stock fut. Pro traders are net buyers in index fut of +7k and net longs stock futures. Dii's were net longs in index fut of +9k and net shorts in stock futures. Retail are net positive in index futures and added longs in index fut to +165k from +170k contracts longs and net longs in stock futures. Options data - Feb Nifty Monthly expiry has highest put writing at 22400/22500 strike and 23000/22800 strikes has highest call writers. Nifty March Weekly expiry has highest put writing at 22300/22400 & 22400/22500 strikes has highest call writers. Bank nifty Feb Monthly expirye saw major call writing at 50000/49500 strike and major put writing seen until 47500/48000 strike. Sensex March Monthly expiry saw major call writing at 76000/76500 strikes and Major put writing seen at 74500/74000 PCR Ratio of Nifty PCR at 0.76 from 0.71 and Bank nifty PCR at 0.81 from 0.76 Sensex PCR at 1.02nfrom 0.61 Indices performance - Yesterday trading session saw weak session in broader markets with selling pressure across sectors and subdued close for indices. Indian markets volatile session across sectors with negative Market breadth; psubank, Finanicals, midcaps, smallcaps, Energy, Reality, Infra, banking, IT, Fmcg, metals saw selling pressure while Fmcg, Consumption and Auto sectors saw buying interest. Market View & news - Monthly expiry today can see volatility in markets. Trump tarrifs statements are moving global markets and USD. NVIDIA reported in line earnings with PAT stronger than estimates, Nvidia forecasts of $43 Billion Quarter revenue is slightly above $42 billion previous estimates. Technical view : Yesterday session opened lower and continued to trade sideways to subdued throughout the day to close flat at 22547 with negative Market breadth of 1:1.5 Adv:Dec Ratio. Nifty trading below 5EMA 22700 & below 10 EMA 22870 and below 20EMA 23030 & below 50 EMA 23350 Nifty range shifted to 22400-23000 zone for next few sessions ahead, Nifty major trend is neutral to negative Today's Nifty big support is at 22450/22410 zone & big resistance at 22980/22955 Nifty trading below 200EMA 23520 and below 200 SMA 24060 & below 100 EMA 23660 zone. Today Nifty minor support seen at 22481/22505 while major support seen at 22385/22415 While minor resistance seen at 22595/22615 zone while major resistance seen at 22685/22726 zone. Daily CPR at 22580 Weekly CPR at 22855 Monthly CPR at 23507 Nifty structure is negative in short term. Nifty fut closed negative -0.28%. Nifty fut OI at 1.11Cr with long unwinding & reduction in OI by -28.25% with 55% rollovers in Nifty fut to next month March fut. Yesterday session #banknifty opened lower and saw subdued trades throughout the day to close negative at 48608. Major support seen at 48280/48310 zone and major resistance at 49040/49070 zone. Banknifty trades at 5 EMA of 48860 and below 10 EMA 49120 and trading below 20 EMA 49250 & below 20 SMA 49460 and below 50EMA 49770 and trading below 100EMA 50350 & Bank nifty trading just around 200EMA 50087/ below 50945 200 SMA. For today Bank nifty minor support seen at 48510/48540 zone while major support seen at 48210/48256 zone and minor resistance seen at 48890/48870 zone while major resistance seen at 49060/49010 zone Daily CPR at 48560 Weekly CPR at 49040 Monthly CPR at 49700 Bank nifty view is neutral to negative in short term with range of 48000-50000. Bank nifty fut closed negative -0.25% with open interest at 20.70 lakhs & long unwinding with reduction in OI at -23.31% and 55% rollovers into next month March fut. Sectors to watch today- Positive/neutral- Fmcg, Metals, Financials, Reality, Defence sectors, Midcaps, Smallcap, Auto. Negative/neutral - Pharma, Media, Consumption, Banking, IT. Stocks to watchout today- POSITIVE- Chambalfert, Bhartiairtel, Lauruslabs, Ashokleyland, Shriramfin, Cholafin, Bajajfinance, Maxhealth, Abcapital, M&M, Colpal, Havells. NEGATIVE- Hudco, Ultratechcem, Lalpathlabs, VBL, Delhivery, Hindalco, Hindcopper, Vedl, DRREDDY, Polycab, Havells. Good morning!!! Have a Good trading day!!! 👍

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