
AZEE Securities
February 17, 2025 at 06:42 AM
*KSE-100 Index: Market Faces Resistance Amid Recovery Attempt*
*🔹 Key Levels to Watch:*
• Immediate Support: 109,847 (gap support level)
• Critical Support: 109,400–109,800 (key support zone)
• Next Major Support: 105,600–100,400 (extended downside targets)
• Immediate Resistance: 113,500 (near resistance zone)
• Key Resistance Zone: 113,000–113,700 (selling pressure zone)
*🔹 Outlook*: The KSE-100 Index attempted a recovery last week, closing at 112,085, up 1.6%, after dipping to a low of 109,405. Despite holding above the critical 109,847 gap support, the index faced resistance near the 113,500 level, capping further upside potential.
Weekly volume showed a slight improvement to 1.36 billion shares, though it remains subdued compared to December's highs, suggesting a lack of strong buying conviction. The RSI stands at 68.30, having breached its trendline support, reinforcing the bearish divergence from last week.
While the short-term bounce is encouraging, the market remains in a consolidation phase. A sustained breakout above 113,500 with rising volumes could shift the sentiment towards a bullish outlook, targeting 116,000–118,000. However, failure to break this resistance may trigger renewed selling pressure.
• *Bullish Scenario:* A move above 113,500 with increased volume could signal further bullish momentum, potentially driving the index toward the 116,000–118,000 range.
• *Bearish Scenario:* A failure to break key resistance may lead to renewed selling, with a breakdown below 109,400–109,800 triggering further declines toward 105,600 and 100,400.
Traders should maintain a cautious stance, watching for price action around key support and resistance levels, and consider a sell-on-strength strategy in the near term.
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