
Traderivative
February 25, 2025 at 03:07 PM
Sensex vs Earnings: How Long Can the Gap Last?
Since 2020, the Sensex has surged ahead of earnings, thanks to global liquidity and easy money. Now it could be time for time correction/ mean reversion.
Look at the chart - it shows something important: earnings (EPS) growth and the Sensex are now converging.
Why is this happening?
👉Valuation Compression: PE ratios are falling as markets adjust to realistic earnings expectations.
👉Liquidity Matters: FII & DII flows will decide if the rally sustains.
👉Interest Rates: Any RBI rate cuts can boost valuations. It needs to address flat yield curve.
What’s Next?
✅ If earnings pick up, the Sensex can hold current levels.
✅ If earnings stay slow, expect a correction or sideways market.
👉 Bottom line: The market can’t stay ahead of fundamentals (eps)forever without any fall in price of money.
#stockmarket #investing #sensex #epsgrowth #marketoutlook
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