
LNPR CAPITAL
June 12, 2025 at 02:09 PM
Credo Brands Marketing Ltd (Mufti) – Q4 FY25 & FY25 Full Year Concall Highlights
Financial & Operational Performance:
- Q4 FY25 Revenue: ₹153.2 crore (+15% YoY); FY25 Revenue: ₹618.2 crore (+9% YoY).
- Profitability: Q4 EBITDA ₹41.1 crore (margin 26.8%), up 33% YoY; FY25 EBITDA ₹179.7 crore (margin 29.1%). PAT for FY25 was ₹68.4 crore, reflecting strong margin discipline despite industry challenges.
- Balance Sheet: Maintains healthy cash reserves; no debt, providing financial flexibility.
Industry & Market Conditions:
- Post-COVID surge in demand for mid-premium and premium menswear has normalized; consumer sentiment remains subdued due to macroeconomic headwinds.
- Current demand in the premium apparel segment is weak, driven by lower discretionary spending, but this is viewed as a cyclical phase rather than a long-term concern.
Business Model & Strategic Focus:
- Inventory Management: Unique model of fresh stock sales through offline stores (EBOs, MBOs, LFS), with unsold inventory liquidated via online outlets, enabling high margins and extended inventory days (~67 days, down 10 days YoY).
- Store Expansion: Added 16 new EBOs (total 441 stores in 247 cities), with 19 closures in FY25; opening new stores selectively in prime locations. Same-store sales growth (SSSG) at 1.8%.
- Digital & Omnichannel: Achieved over double turnover via own website in FY25; actively expanding online contribution in a profitable manner. Digital marketing spend maintained at ~5% of revenues.
- Premiumization & Store Upgrades: Launching a new retail identity, renovating up to 30 flagship stores in FY26, with a cautious and calibrated approach.
Margins & Growth Outlook:
- Margin Strategy: EBITDA margins expected to be sustained around 28–30%. Gross margins stable at 56–58%.
- Revenue Growth: Targetting mid-teens growth in FY26, driven by store expansion (~20–25 new stores), SSSG, and market recovery. Growth will be calibrated to demand sentiment, prioritizing profitability.
- Capex: Estimated ₹12–15 crore in FY26, financed through internal accruals.
Key Drivers & Outlook:
- Demand Cycle: Expectation of demand revival enabled by supportive macroeconomic policies (e.g., focus on middle-class disposable income).
- No Immediate Export Plans: Focus remains on India, leveraging category leadership, omnichannel strengths, and high store productivity.
- Operational Leverage: Employee and other costs remain flat YoY, indicating good operating leverage; incremental digital and store investments will be made when justified.
- Credit & Risk Management: Asset-light model, strong liquidity, and disciplined expansion minimize credit and inventory risks.
Risks & Headwinds:
- Ongoing subdued demand in the first two months of FY26, with SSSG muted at 1.8%. Ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties could impact discretionary spend.
- Market recovery depends on macro factors; growth will be calibrated accordingly.
Management Confidence & Strategy:
- Fully confident in navigating challenges while maintaining profitability.
- Focus on premiumization, digital transformation, and selective expansion.
- Prioritizing long-term relationship building with distributors, franchisees, and retail partners.