
Yieldcapitals Financial Services
June 12, 2025 at 03:14 AM
*12th Jun 2025 Markets outlook for the day*
Yesterday#usmarkets - ends muted on mixed news of CPI and trade talks
US futures lower on geopolitical tensions in middle East and trade deal confusion of US-China
Global markets sentiment neutral to positive.
Asian markets trade negative in early morning trades on middle East tensions and trade talks.
India VIX lower at 13.67 from 14.02 as Indian markets saw a muted session.
Indian Rupee appreciate against dollar, USDINR at 85.42 from 85.60
Global currency & Bonds-
US Dollar index lower at 98.42 from 99.0 as cooling CPI increase hopes of hawkish rate cuts by fed.
US 10 yr Bond yields muted at 4.38 from 4.46
Global Commodities -
Comex Gold prices Rebound at $3395 from $3340 amid confusion on US-CHINA trade talks and weaker dollar
Comex Silver trade higher at 13 yr muted at $36.46 from 36.76
Comex copper muted at $4.81 from $4.88 on trade talks.
Brent Crude oil sparks higher to $69.60 per barrel from $67.60 as heightened tensions between US- Iran and middle East conflicts.
Natural Gas prices muted at $3.54 from $3.60 on over supply news.
Indian markets cash & Derivatives data -
Yesterday Fii's were net seller of -446Cr in cash markets in previous trading session while Dii's were net buyers of +1585Cr in cash market.
June series Fii's are negative in index fut & reduced shorts in index fut to -86k contracts from -93k shorts in index fut and net longs in stock futures.
Pro traders are net sellers in index fut of -11k from -15k and net longs stock futures.
Dii's were net longs in index fut of 36k and net shorts in stock futures.
Retail are net positive in index futures and added longs in index fut to +62k from +69k contracts longs and net longs in stock futures.
Options data -
Nifty weekly expiry today expect volatility in markets.
June Nifty Monthly expiry has highest put writing at 24500/24600 Strikes while 25500/25300 calls strikes has highest call writing while Weekly put writing seen at 25000/24900 put strikes while Weekly call writing seen at 25300/25400 call strikes.
Banknifty June monthly call writing seen 57000/57500 strikes and major put writing seen at 56000/55500 strikes.
Sensex Jun weekly expiry major call writing seen at 83000/83500 while put writing seen at 82000/81500 strikes
PCR Ratio of Nifty PCR at 0.88 from 0.98 and
Bank nifty PCR at 0.96 from 0.98 while
Sensex PCR at 0.72 from 0.74
Indices performance -
Yesterday Indian markets saw muted session with positive close, broader markets closing subdued with no major trend.
Market views & news -
US-CHINA trade talks confusion lingers markets despite trump claims of deal done.
US-Iran tensions and middle East tensions spike oil prices by 3% overnight.
Israel ready to attack Iran claims US officials driving commodities higher.
Musk apology to trump could reopen path for renewed alliance.
US CPI cools in April paving the way for Hawkish rate cuts expectations in markets.
US appeal court favourable ruling on trump tariffs.
Technical view :
Yesterday #nifty opened positive and saw range bound trades throughout the day with positive bais. market breadth positive with 6:5 Adv:Dec Ratio to close positive at 25141 at 1 month highs.
Nifty trading above 5EMA 25025 & above 10EMA 24935 & at 20EMA 24798 & above 50 EMA 24335
Nifty major trading range of 24600-25600.
Today's Nifty big support is at 25010/25930 zone & big resistance at 25225/25245 zone
Nifty trading above 200EMA 23750 & above 200 SMA 24095 and above 100 EMA 24090 zone. Today Nifty minor support seen at 25135/25095 while major support seen at 24985/25015 While minor resistance seen at 25222/25240 zone while major resistance seen at 25299/25275 zone.
Daily CPR at 25119
Weekly CPR at 24845
Monthly CPR at 24600
Nifty June fut closed positive +0.18%.
Nifty fut OI at 1.29Cr with long buildup & addition in OI by +1.30% indicating positive bais.
Nifty structure is positive in short term with trading range of 24650-25600,
Nifty trend is positive with buy on dips and 24950 as stoploss on closing basis and tgt 25340/25680 as tgts.
Yesterday #banknifty opened positive and traded sideways in range bound zone throughout the day to close negative at 56459.
Major support seen at 56015/56060 zone and major resistance at 57029/57050 zone.
Banknifty trades above 5 EMA of 56430 and above 10 EMA 56150 and trading above 20 EMA 55790 & above 20 SMA 55680 and above 50EMA 54310/above 50SMA 54345 and trading above 100EMA 53080 &
Bank nifty trading above 200EMA 51720/ above 51730 200 SMA.
For today Bank nifty minor support seen at 56235/56195 zone while major support seen at 56019/56040 zone and minor resistance seen at 56845/56795 zone while major resistance seen at 57027/57045 zone
Daily CPR at 56736
Weekly CPR at 56224
Monthly CPR at 55035
Bank nifty view is positive in short term with range of 55500-57500.
Bank nifty Jun fut closed Negative at -0.26% with open interest at 20.30 lakhs & long unwinding with reduction in OI at -0.43% indicating neutral bais.
Banknifty trend neutral to positive in range of 55000-57500 buy on dips with stoploss 55750 on closing basis and tgt 57000/57560.
Sectors to watch today-
Positive/neutral-
Energy, Auto, media, Smallcaps, midcap, Financials, Fmcg, IT, metals, Oil&Gas, Pharma.
Negative/neutral -
Banks, Psubank, Reality, PSE, Media, Energy, CPSE, Defence.
Stocks to watchout today-
POSITIVE-
ongc, Infy, Reliance, Hcltech,Gail, Vedl, Coal India, LIC, Lauruslab, Drreddy, Lupin, Manappuram, Biocon, Abcapital, Ultratechcem.
NEGATIVE-
Mcx, BSE, IEX, BDL, Hindzinc, CDSL, Shriramfin, Hudco, Powergrid.
Good morning!!!
Have a Good trading day!!! 👍