
AZEE Securities
June 18, 2025 at 08:27 AM
*Crude Oil Alert: Israel-Iran Tensions Escalate*
Brent crude jumped from $60 to a peak of $78, now hovering around $73, amid rising Middle East tensions.
If prices remain above $80 for an extended period, the fallout for Pakistan could be significant:
• 🚗 Fuel Prices: Direct upward pressure on domestic petrol/diesel rates
• 📈 Inflation: Higher transport and energy costs will fuel price hikes across sectors
• 💰 Interest Rates: SBP may hold or raise rates to curb inflationary pressures
• 📉 Current Account: Surplus could quickly reverse due to increased import bills
🔍 *Analysis:*
For Pakistan—a net oil importer—elevated crude prices are a fiscal time bomb. Rising energy costs will strain public finances, hurt industrial margins, and erode consumer purchasing power. The PSX may see pressure on oil-dependent sectors and rate-sensitive equities if this trend continues.