
Momentum Ideas🚀 - Equity and F&O🚀 https://x.com/Siddharthd19
June 21, 2025 at 08:10 AM
RBI just quietly boosted India’s economy by ₹10,00,000 crore.
No big headlines. No drama.
Just one smart rule that unlocks:
➝ Massive lending
➝ Stock market gains
➝ Faster infra growth
Let’s break it down 👇
What happened?
RBI slashed “provisioning” requirements for infrastructure loans:
➝ Old draft: 5%
➝ Final rule: just 1%
One number change → affects banks, stocks, infra, jobs.
It’s bigger than it looks.
What is provisioning?
Banks set aside cash in case a loan goes bad.
It’s a safety cushion.
➝ Higher % = less money to lend
➝ Lower % = more money to fund projects
RBI just made lending easier, faster, and cheaper.
Final provisioning rules (effective Oct 1):
* Under-construction infra ➝ 1%
* Commercial real estate ➝ 1.25%
* Residential housing ➝ 0.75%
* Operational projects ➝ 0.4%
* Delayed projects ➝ +0.375%/quarter
Let’s simplify with an example:
₹1,000 crore loan:
➝ 5% rule: ₹50 crore locked
➝ 1% rule: ₹10 crore locked
That’s ₹40 crore freed per loan.
Now multiply that across 1000s of loans…
This is how policy changes markets.
Market reaction (June 20):
* PFC ➝ +4.7%
* REC ➝ +4.8%
* IREDA ➝ +5%
* SBI, BoB ➝ up
More capital ➝ More lending ➝ More profits ➝ Higher stock prices
The market understood the signal fast.
Positive for lenders.” – Emkay
“Reduces project risk.” – Citi
“Boosts credit growth.” – IIFL
✅ Infra lenders are happy
✅ Banks are relieved
✅ Investors are bullish
India’s infra dream needs this:
➝ $1.4 Trillion National Infra Pipeline
➝ Roads, railways, smart cities
➝ Bullet trains, ports, renewable energy
This rule unlocks capital that builds the future.
The math that matters:
₹100 crore loan:
➝ 5% provisioning ➝ ₹5 crore locked
➝ 1% ➝ ₹1 crore locked
➝ ₹4 crore freed
Do this across ₹10L+ crore of infra loans…
That's a massive credit unlock.
Why do we even need provisioning?
To protect against:
* Project delays
* Cost overruns
* Loan defaults
But too much = credit crunch.
RBI found the sweet spot between caution & growth.
RBI added safeguards too:
* Delays = higher provisioning
* Infra: +0.375% every 3 months
* Max delay allowed: 3 years (infra), 2 years (non-infra)
This isn’t blind easing - it’s smart lending discipline.
Who benefits from this?
➝ Banks/NBFCs ➝ more capital to lend
➝ Infra firms ➝ cheaper funding
➝ Investors ➝ stronger PSU stocks
➝ Citizens ➝ faster roads, power, housing
This is a 4-way win.
Why infra = India’s growth engine
* 40% of industrial output
* 30M+ jobs
* Power, roads, housing, logistics
* Strong multiplier effect on GDP
This rule fuels the machine India depends on.
What’s next from RBI?
Already eased:
* Gold loan rules
* NBFC restrictions
* Now: Infra provisioning
Expect more credit-positive moves in FY26.
RBI is saying:
➝ “We’re ready to back India’s buildout.”
takeaway:
One rule. One % change.
➝ Unlocked ₹10L+ crore in lending
➝ Boosted stock market confidence
➝ Supports infra, jobs, growth
It’s not just “easing.”
It’s a catalyst for India's next bull run.🇮🇳