Samasthiti Advisors

Samasthiti Advisors

1/31/2025, 1:16:31 PM

𝗨.𝗦. 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗹𝗲 𝗼𝗻 𝗔𝗜 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗿𝘂𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻, 𝗪𝗵𝗶𝗹𝗲 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗮 𝗛𝗼𝗽𝗲𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗕𝘂𝗱𝗴𝗲𝘁 𝗕𝗼𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗦𝗮𝗺𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘁𝗶 𝗔𝗱𝘃𝗶𝘀𝗼𝗿’𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗿 – 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗱 𝗝𝗮𝗻 𝟯𝟭, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱 • Global markets experienced an eventful week, with a series of developments keeping investors on edge. The launch of a Chinese AI model sent shockwaves through U.S. markets, while Indian markets grappled with persistent economic challenges in the lead-up to the Union Budget. • 📈 Nifty 50 (+0.19%) and 📈 Sensex 30 (+0.31%) stabilized, still weighed down by weak corporate earnings and sustained foreign selling. Investors turned their focus to the upcoming Union Budget, anticipating potential measures such as income tax cuts and increased capital expenditure. The RBI also announced liquidity-boosting initiatives, including bond purchases and dollar/rupee swaps, raising hopes of an interest rate cut to 6.25% in February. • 📉 S&P 500 (-0.78%) and 📉 Nasdaq (-1.85%) declined sharply after Chinese startup Deep Seek unveiled an AI model reportedly more cost-effective and capable of running on less advanced chips than U.S. homegrown models. Adding to market jitters, President Trump announced a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada, two of the U.S.'s largest trading partners. Meanwhile, the Fed held interest rates steady, as widely expected. • 📉 Nikkei (-0.9%) slipped as Tokyo’s core inflation hit 2.5%, marking the fastest annual increase in nearly a year and exceeding the central bank’s 2% target, reinforcing expectations of further rate hikes. • 🪙 Gold (+1.33%) extended its rally for a fifth consecutive week, as investors sought refuge in safe-haven assets amid U.S. tariff concerns, while awaiting a key inflation report for further cues. • 📈 Indian 10-year yield settled at 6.79% (down 7.4 bps for the month), while the U.S. 10-year yield climbed to 4.52% (down 5.3 bps). • 💱 USD-INR at 86.58 hit a new all-time low as concerns over U.S. trade tariffs weighed on Asian currencies. The RBI intervened to limit the bleeding. • 🛢 Brent Crude at $75.72 remained on track for a weekly decline, as markets awaited confirmation on whether President Trump would proceed with imposing tariffs on Mexico and Canada. Until next time, 👋 bye! 🌟

Samasthiti Advisors

2/7/2025, 2:44:38 PM

𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗰𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗨.𝗦. 𝗧𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗳𝗳 𝗨𝗻𝗰𝗲𝗿𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘁𝘆 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗥𝗕𝗜’𝘀 𝗙𝗶𝗿𝘀𝘁 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗖𝘂𝘁 𝗶𝗻 𝗙𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗬𝗲𝗮𝗿𝘀 𝗦𝗮𝗺𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘁𝗶 𝗔𝗱𝘃𝗶𝘀𝗼𝗿’𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗿 – 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗱 𝗙𝗲𝗯 𝟬𝟳, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱 • Global markets remained highly sensitive to rapid developments throughout the week, as the impact of the U.S. tariff war persisted, while Indian markets digested the central bank’s first rate cut in five years, aimed at boosting liquidity. • 📈 Nifty 50 (+0.22%) and 📈 Sensex 30 (+0.46%) remained subdued as the RBI’s much-anticipated 25 bps rate cut to 6.25% failed to impress the market. Investors were expecting additional liquidity measures, such as a reduction in banks' cash reserve ratio (CRR). Foreign outflows surged in January, with FPIs offloading approximately $9 billion worth of domestic equities—the second-highest monthly outflow—led by the financial sector, which lost about $3 billion. • 📈 S&P 500 (+0.20%) and 📈 Nasdaq (+0.56%) edged higher after President Trump announced a one-month delay in tariffs on Canada and Mexico, raising hopes for a trade breakthrough with China. However, the ongoing tariff war dampened expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts. Investors now await key U.S. payroll data for further market direction. • 📉 Nikkei (-1.8%) declined as the IMF flagged concerns over Japan’s rising debt servicing costs, which are projected to double by 2030. Meanwhile, the country’s service sector activity expanded for a third consecutive month, with the PMI rising to 53.0 in January from 50.9 in December—the highest level since September. Household spending also grew for the first time in months, increasing by 2.7% in December. • 🪙 Gold (+2.96%) surged, set for a weekly gain amid trade war-fueled demand, as investors flocked to the safe-haven asset while monitoring U.S.-China trade tensions and upcoming U.S. payroll data for future Fed rate cut bets. • 📈 Indian 10-year yield settled at 6.80% (down 4.8 bps for the month), while the U.S. 10-year yield climbed to 4.43% (down 25.3 bps). • 💱 USD-INR at 87.43 hit another record low amid sustained pressure on the currency. The RBI’s first rate cut in five years further exacerbated the decline. • 🛢 Brent Crude at $74.90 remained on track for a third consecutive weekly decline, weighed down by U.S. President Trump's escalating trade war with China and threats of further tariff hikes on other nations, raising concerns over weaker global demand. Until next time, 👋 bye! 🌟

Samasthiti Advisors

2/22/2025, 5:01:33 AM

𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗻 𝗔𝗺𝗶𝗱 𝗨.𝗦. 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝗣𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗰𝘆 𝗨𝗻𝗰𝗲𝗿𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘁𝘆 𝗦𝗮𝗺𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘁𝗶 𝗔𝗱𝘃𝗶𝘀𝗼𝗿’𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗿 – 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗱 𝗙𝗲𝗯 𝟮𝟭, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱 • Global markets remained on edge over the week as ongoing speculation around tariffs weighed on U.S. markets, while Indian markets continued to struggle, driven by concerns over U.S. tariffs affecting key export industries. • 📉 Nifty 50 (-0.58%) and 📉 Sensex 30 (-0.83%) extended losses after President Trump announced plans to impose at least a 25% tariff on the pharma sector, which accounts for nearly 31% of India's total pharma exports. Losses were further exacerbated by a decline in the auto sector amid fears of a reduction in import duty on electric vehicles to 15% from 110%, as Tesla prepares to enter the market. • 📈 S&P 500 (+0.04%) and 📈 Nasdaq (+0.08%) posted marginal gains as markets absorbed Trump’s tariff plans targeting autos, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, fueling further trade war fears. The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged in its January meeting as it continued to combat persistent inflation, which climbed to 3% in January. • 📉 Nikkei (-1.2%) slumped as factory activity declined for the eighth straight month in February, albeit at a slower pace. The PMI rebounded to 48.9 from 48.7 in January. Meanwhile, Japan's core consumer inflation accelerated to 3.2% in January, marking its fastest pace in 19 months, even as GDP growth outperformed expectations at 2.8% in the previous quarter. • 🪙 Gold (+0.32%) recorded its eighth consecutive week of gains, hitting two back-to-back record highs, as safe-haven demand remained strong amid uncertainty over U.S. trade policy. • 📈 Indian 10-year yield settled at 6.82% (down 1.9 bps for the month), while the U.S. 10-year yield climbed to 4.48% (down 8.0 bps). • 💱 USD-INR at 86.60 cooled slightly, benefiting from a broadly weaker dollar as investors remained cautious about U.S. President Trump's policies. • 🛢 Brent Crude at $75.86 posted a weekly increase, supported by an improving demand outlook in the U.S. and China. Concerns over supply disruptions in Russia also lent eased. Until next time, 👋 bye! 🌟

Samasthiti Advisors

2/28/2025, 2:32:02 PM

𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝗕𝗮𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝗥𝗲𝗱 𝗔𝗺𝗶𝗱 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝗪𝗮𝗿 𝗙𝗲𝗮𝗿𝘀 𝗦𝗮𝗺𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘁𝗶 𝗔𝗱𝘃𝗶𝘀𝗼𝗿’𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗿 – 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗱 𝗙𝗲𝗯 𝟮𝟴, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱 • Global markets were deep in the red this week as fears of an imminent trade war, economic slowdown, and a rout in mega-cap tech stocks rattled investors. • 📉 Nifty 50 (-2.94%) and 📉 Sensex 30 (-2.81%) extended their losing streak, marking a fifth consecutive monthly decline. Weak earnings, persistent foreign outflows ($25 billion since September), and uncertainty around U.S. tariffs weighed heavily on the markets. However, India's economy showed resilience, growing at 6.2% in October-December, driven by 8.3% growth in government spending and 6.9% year-on-year growth in consumer spending. • 📉 S&P 500 (-4.18%) and 📉 Nasdaq (-7.10%) tumbled as weak consumer confidence data added to market woes. The Trump administration proceeded with the stalled 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada and hinted at a similar move for the European Union. AI giant Nvidia and other mega-cap stocks slumped following a lukewarm earnings report, dragging the Nasdaq sharply lower. • 📉 Nikkei (-4.3%) followed global peers lower as Japan's factory output fell 1.1% in January. However, inflation in Tokyo eased to 2.2% in February, and retail sales rose 3.9% year-on-year, offering some support. • 🪙 Gold (-1.07%) edged lower as a strong dollar, driven by geopolitical and monetary uncertainties, pressured the safe-haven asset. Investors now await key U.S. inflation data for further clarity on the Federal Reserve’s rate cut trajectory. • 📈 Indian 10-year yield settled at 6.83% (up 4.2 bps for the month), while the U.S. 10-year yield dipped to 4.24% (down 29.0 bps). • 💱 USD-INR at 87.36, as dollar strength persisted amid uncertainty surrounding the Trump administration’s tariff policies. • 🛢 Brent Crude at $72.66 remained under pressure, as concerns over global economic growth and fuel demand—driven by U.S. tariff threats and signs of a slowdown—weighed heavily on prices. Until next time, 👋 bye! 🌟