Jayant Mundhra (Biz News+)
January 25, 2025 at 09:37 AM
*It’s astonishing how fast the Chinese people are giving up on 10k KFC, 7k Starbucks & 6k McD outlets 🙌🙌*
And that too, all in favour of the local competitors.
This is a serious deal, which I hope also plays out in India.
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*Take McD & KFC competitor Tastien, which has opened a whopping 1.6k outlets in the last 6 months.*
-> That’s more than 3 times the total no. of McD outlets that have been launched in India to date, all opened by this Chinese player in just the last 6 months
-> In fact, it now operates 7k outlets in China, more than McD
Similarly, another competitor, Wallace, is more than 3x larger with >20k outlets! 🙌🙌
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*Let’s move to Starbucks, which has 7k outlets in China.*
-> Nine months ago, its Chinese competitor Cotti hit 6k outlets
-> But, more importantly, it announced that by 2025-end, it shall hit the 20k mark
-> This means that it will open 20 outlets every day! Crazy!
Other local competitors are also expanding rapidly. Luckin Coffee has surpassed 8k outlets.
And Mixue has hit 36k outlets. *Thirty-Six Thousand!* 🙌🙌
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*And all of these Chinese players have two standard features.*
One. They are often much cheaper versions of their Western counterparts.
For example, Luckin sells some of its coffees at a third of Starbucks’ prices. Mixue & Cotti even lower.
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*Two.* Geography!
Most homegrown chains come from places other than China’s rich megalopolises, such as Shanghai & Beijing.
-> Cotti & Wallace opened their first outlets in Fuzhou, a Tier-2 city
-> Tastien was also founded in a Tier-2 city called Nancheng. In fact, ~50% of Tastien’s outlets are in Tier-2 & Tier-3 cities
-> Luckin’s rapid growth has also been driven by its expansion in these relative backwaters. Starbucks, meanwhile, has barely ventured beyond the most prominent Chinese cities in the past two years
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*Such chains are expanding most aggressively in cities like these, partly because Western rivals have historically ignored them.*
And presently, I know at least one major Indian cafe chain applying this formula.
Barista! 🙌🙌
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*Back to China, foreign rivals are catching on.*
-> In the first quarter of 2024, ~60% of new Chinese KFCs and Pizza Huts opened in Tier-3 or smaller cities
-> Most of the 4,000 new outlets that McD is planning to open by 2028 are also planned to be in smaller towns
But, anyhow, the shift towards local brands reflects a growing sense of national pride and cultural identity among the Chinese.
Plus, these Chinese chains have created a massive lot of jobs in lower-tier cities, which foreign brands have traditionally overlooked.
What do you think?
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Jayant Shilanjan Mundhra
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