
Finology By Pranjal Kamra
February 25, 2025 at 06:32 AM
_*Should You Stop Your Mid-cap & Small-cap Fund SIP?*_
Every year, between Nov and Dec, we bring you India's most trusted mutual fund recommendation series at Finology.
In our Best Small-Cap Mutual Fund for 2024 video, released on 1 Dec 2023, we made a bold decision.
*We did not recommend any new investments in small-cap funds.*
Why? Because valuations were too high, and the risk-to-return ratio wasn't favourable.
Yet, between December 2023 and November 2024, the Nifty Small cap 250 index surged ~26%. At that point, it felt like valuations were being pushed to the moon, far beyond what fundamentals could justify.
Many questioned our decision, but my research team and I spent 500+ hours analysing economic factors and held countless discussions to assess market conditions.
By November 2024, the valuation bubble was clear:
✅ 36+ mid-cap companies (out of 150) were trading at a PE above 70
✅ 14+ companies had a PE exceeding 100
Despite the rally, we stood firm in our belief that an economic slowdown could trigger a deep correction.
On 23 November 2024, in our 2025 Mutual Fund Recommendation video, we again skipped small-cap and mid-cap fund recommendations, sticking to research, not momentum.
But this time, the reaction was intense
❌ 100+ comments criticising our decision
❌ People felt their time was wasted
❌ We lost subscribers
Today, the market reality is drastically different, something many never saw coming.
Q3 results showed only ~7% (single-digit) earnings growth, which does not justify the high valuations.
•Nifty Small cap 250 index has dropped 20% in 2025, with 10% of that in just the past week.
•Nifty Midcap 150 index is down 15% this year, slipping 7% in just one week.
*Result:* Small-cap SIP investors have been sitting on unrealised losses (a negative XIRR of up to - 46%) in all 29 schemes since their peak in September 2024.
At Finology, we walk with the mindset of Capital Safety
No Hype
No FOMO
No chasing short-term trends.
Markets can be irrational for a while, but in the end, fundamentals always catch up.
First, ask yourself:
•Should I stop my SIPs to avoid further losses?
•Will small caps recover soon, or is this the start of a prolonged downturn?
•Should I arrange more money for a lump sum investment in small caps?
If these questions are taking your headspace, then you should probably never consider small-cap or mid-cap funds in your asset allocation.
But if that's NOT you, here are my key takeaways:
📌 Redefining small cap long-term investing horizon – If you're not ready for a 15+ year horizon, small caps aren't for you.
📌 Small caps are highly volatile – They can swing sharply within the same year, sometimes wiping out 50% of gains in deep corrections.
📌 Sharp declines are common – Even in positive years, small caps have seen significant drawdowns.
📌 Review your asset allocation – If small caps exceed 25% of your portfolio, rebalance. An optimal allocation is 15-20% to manage risk.
📌 SIPs thrive in volatility – Staying invested lets you buy at lower prices, improving long-term cost averaging.
If you value our capital safety mindset, long-term, research-backed stock picks, and sector-agnostic approach, explore *Finology 30—your curated path to building wealth the right way.*👇
Link: [https://recipe.finology.in/stocks]
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