Samasthiti Advisors
Samasthiti Advisors
February 7, 2025 at 02:44 PM
๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—จ.๐—ฆ. ๐—ง๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ณ๐—ณ ๐—จ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐˜† ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฅ๐—•๐—œโ€™๐˜€ ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—–๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—™๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฌ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ฆ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ ๐—”๐—ฑ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ฟโ€™๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ๐—น๐˜† ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ง๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ โ€“ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—™๐—ฒ๐—ฏ ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿณ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ โ€ข Global markets remained highly sensitive to rapid developments throughout the week, as the impact of the U.S. tariff war persisted, while Indian markets digested the central bankโ€™s first rate cut in five years, aimed at boosting liquidity. โ€ข ๐Ÿ“ˆ Nifty 50 (+0.22%) and ๐Ÿ“ˆ Sensex 30 (+0.46%) remained subdued as the RBIโ€™s much-anticipated 25 bps rate cut to 6.25% failed to impress the market. Investors were expecting additional liquidity measures, such as a reduction in banks' cash reserve ratio (CRR). Foreign outflows surged in January, with FPIs offloading approximately $9 billion worth of domestic equitiesโ€”the second-highest monthly outflowโ€”led by the financial sector, which lost about $3 billion. โ€ข ๐Ÿ“ˆ S&P 500 (+0.20%) and ๐Ÿ“ˆ Nasdaq (+0.56%) edged higher after President Trump announced a one-month delay in tariffs on Canada and Mexico, raising hopes for a trade breakthrough with China. However, the ongoing tariff war dampened expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts. Investors now await key U.S. payroll data for further market direction. โ€ข ๐Ÿ“‰ Nikkei (-1.8%) declined as the IMF flagged concerns over Japanโ€™s rising debt servicing costs, which are projected to double by 2030. Meanwhile, the countryโ€™s service sector activity expanded for a third consecutive month, with the PMI rising to 53.0 in January from 50.9 in Decemberโ€”the highest level since September. Household spending also grew for the first time in months, increasing by 2.7% in December. โ€ข ๐Ÿช™ Gold (+2.96%) surged, set for a weekly gain amid trade war-fueled demand, as investors flocked to the safe-haven asset while monitoring U.S.-China trade tensions and upcoming U.S. payroll data for future Fed rate cut bets. โ€ข ๐Ÿ“ˆ Indian 10-year yield settled at 6.80% (down 4.8 bps for the month), while the U.S. 10-year yield climbed to 4.43% (down 25.3 bps). โ€ข ๐Ÿ’ฑ USD-INR at 87.43 hit another record low amid sustained pressure on the currency. The RBIโ€™s first rate cut in five years further exacerbated the decline. โ€ข ๐Ÿ›ข Brent Crude at $74.90 remained on track for a third consecutive weekly decline, weighed down by U.S. President Trump's escalating trade war with China and threats of further tariff hikes on other nations, raising concerns over weaker global demand. Until next time, ๐Ÿ‘‹ bye! ๐ŸŒŸ

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