
Samasthiti Advisors
February 7, 2025 at 02:44 PM
๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐จ.๐ฆ. ๐ง๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ณ๐ณ ๐จ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฅ๐๐โ๐ ๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐๐ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐
๐ฆ๐ฎ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐๐ต๐ถ๐๐ถ ๐๐ฑ๐๐ถ๐๐ผ๐ฟโ๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ๐น๐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฟ โ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ฒ๐ฏ ๐ฌ๐ณ, ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฑ
โข Global markets remained highly sensitive to rapid developments throughout the week, as the impact of the U.S. tariff war persisted, while Indian markets digested the central bankโs first rate cut in five years, aimed at boosting liquidity.
โข ๐ Nifty 50 (+0.22%) and ๐ Sensex 30 (+0.46%) remained subdued as the RBIโs much-anticipated 25 bps rate cut to 6.25% failed to impress the market. Investors were expecting additional liquidity measures, such as a reduction in banks' cash reserve ratio (CRR). Foreign outflows surged in January, with FPIs offloading approximately $9 billion worth of domestic equitiesโthe second-highest monthly outflowโled by the financial sector, which lost about $3 billion.
โข ๐ S&P 500 (+0.20%) and ๐ Nasdaq (+0.56%) edged higher after President Trump announced a one-month delay in tariffs on Canada and Mexico, raising hopes for a trade breakthrough with China. However, the ongoing tariff war dampened expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts. Investors now await key U.S. payroll data for further market direction.
โข ๐ Nikkei (-1.8%) declined as the IMF flagged concerns over Japanโs rising debt servicing costs, which are projected to double by 2030. Meanwhile, the countryโs service sector activity expanded for a third consecutive month, with the PMI rising to 53.0 in January from 50.9 in Decemberโthe highest level since September. Household spending also grew for the first time in months, increasing by 2.7% in December.
โข ๐ช Gold (+2.96%) surged, set for a weekly gain amid trade war-fueled demand, as investors flocked to the safe-haven asset while monitoring U.S.-China trade tensions and upcoming U.S. payroll data for future Fed rate cut bets.
โข ๐ Indian 10-year yield settled at 6.80% (down 4.8 bps for the month), while the U.S. 10-year yield climbed to 4.43% (down 25.3 bps).
โข ๐ฑ USD-INR at 87.43 hit another record low amid sustained pressure on the currency. The RBIโs first rate cut in five years further exacerbated the decline.
โข ๐ข Brent Crude at $74.90 remained on track for a third consecutive weekly decline, weighed down by U.S. President Trump's escalating trade war with China and threats of further tariff hikes on other nations, raising concerns over weaker global demand.
Until next time, ๐ bye! ๐