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May 28, 2025 at 04:16 PM
🔆 Key Takeaways: Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and Indian Monsoon
✅ What is MJO?
• A moving system of winds, clouds, and pressure circulating eastward near the equator.
• Discovered in 1971 by Roland Madden and Paul Julian.
• Crucial for tropical rainfall patterns, including the Indian monsoon.
✅ Structure and Movement:
• Moves eastward at 4–8 m/s, completing a cycle every 30–60 days (sometimes up to 90 days).
• Two phases:
• Active Phase: Brings rainfall and storms.
• Suppressed Phase: Causes below-average rainfall.
✅ Relevance to Indian Monsoon:
• Strongly influences monsoon onset and intensity, especially during active phase.
• Early 2024 monsoon onset (May 24 Kerala, May 26 Mumbai) partly due to strong MJO.
✅ Cyclone and Rainfall Connection:
• Active MJO triggers tropical cyclones, supporting monsoon initiation (e.g., June 2015 had 20 days of rain linked to MJO).
✅ Interaction with El Niño:
• MJO and El Niño may coincide but are not causally linked; both affect rainfall unpredictably.
✅ Geographical Impact:
• Influences weather between 30°N and 30°S; India lies in this zone, making it vulnerable to MJO-driven rainfall variations.
#climate #monsoon

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