
Samasthiti Advisors
June 13, 2025 at 12:39 PM
๐ฆ๐ฎ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐๐ต๐ถ๐๐ถ ๐๐ฑ๐๐ถ๐๐ผ๐ฟโ๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ๐น๐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฟ โ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐๐ป๐ฒ ๐ญ๐ฏ, ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฑ
๐ญ. ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐พ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐ โ ๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฎ๐ฑ-๐ฏ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ด๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐, ๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ด๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ
ย ย โข ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐น๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ป๐ด ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ, with the Nifty 50 rising 1.37% and the broader Nifty 500 up 1.5%. Gains were led by large-cap and diversified indices, as investors responded positively to falling inflation, policy stability, and stronger global cues.
ย ย โข ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ก๐ถ๐ณ๐๐ ๐ฑ๐ฌ ๐๐พ๐๐ฎ๐น ๐ช๐ฒ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐
๐ผ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ต๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ, up 2.08%, pointing to widespread participation across constituents rather than a narrow rally in a few heavyweights.
ย ย โข ๐ ๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐บ๐ถ๐น๐ฑ๐น๐, with the Nifty Midcap 150 down 1.4% after a sharp run-up. In contrast, ๐๐บ๐ฎ๐น๐น-๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ ๐ฒ๐
๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฟ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐, rising 1.8%, fuelled by continued flows into micro-cap names and strong momentum in industrials and financials.
ย ย โข ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ก๐ถ๐ณ๐๐ ๐ก๐ฒ๐
๐ ๐ฑ๐ฌ ๐ด๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ญ.๐ต๐ญ%, rebounding from recent underperformance. This indicates a possible return of investor interest in second-tier largecaps, especially after recent valuation corrections.
ย ย โข ๐ฌ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ-๐๐ผ-๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ, ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฒ๐พ๐๐ถ๐๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐ ๐ฎ๐บ๐ผ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐๐-๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ด๐น๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐, supported by resilient corporate earnings, declining inflation, and the RBIโs recent shift to a more accommodative stance.
๐ฎ. ๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ & ๐ฆ๐๐๐น๐ฒ๐ โ ๐ ๐ถ๐
๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ด๐ถ๐ฒ๐
ย ย โข ๐๐น๐ฝ๐ต๐ฎ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ด๐ถ๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ ๐ฏ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ, with the Nifty Alpha 50 slipping 0.3% after a strong two-week run. This suggests some profit booking in high-beta, stock-picking names that had previously led the rally.
ย ย โข ๐๐ผ๐ ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐พ๐๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ด๐ถ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ฒ๐น๐น, with both the Nifty 100 Low Volatility 30 and Quality 30 indices up between 1.4% and 1.7%. These styles benefitted from renewed demand for stable growth, as investors rebalanced portfolios post-RBI cut.
ย ย โข ๐ ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐๐บ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฟ๐บ, with the Nifty 200 Momentum 30 up 1.1% for the week and nearly 17% over the last 3 monthsโevidence that trend-following strategies continue to deliver, despite rising market breadth.
ย ย โข ๐ ๐๐น๐๐ถ-๐ณ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ถ๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐, ๐ฒ๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ ๐๐ต๐ผ๐๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐พ๐๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐น๐ผ๐-๐๐ผ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐, also registered modest gains, reflecting a balanced investor preference for both risk-taking and downside protection.
๐ฏ. ๐๐ถ๐
๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ป๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ โ ๐ฌ๐ถ๐ฒ๐น๐ฑ ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐๐๐น๐ฒ๐, ๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ฎ๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐
ย ย โข ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐น๐ฑ๐ ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐น๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐๐น๐, with the 10-year government bond yield falling 7 basis points to 6.31%. This continues the softening trend post-RBI's June rate cut and indicates that markets expect further easing down the line.
ย ย โข ๐ฆ๐ต๐ผ๐ฟ๐-๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ณ๐ฒ๐น๐น ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฝ๐น๐, with the 6-month T-bill yield down 51 basis points over the past month. Liquidity remains abundant, and demand for short-dated paper is strong.
ย ย โข ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐น๐ฑ ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป, though at a gentler pace, as market participants assess the RBI's next steps.
๐ฐ. ๐๐น๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐น ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐๐ โ ๐๐พ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐ฒ๐ป๐, ๐ฏ๐๐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฝ๐ฒ ๐น๐ฎ๐ด๐
ย ย โข ๐จ.๐ฆ. ๐ฒ๐พ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ผ ๐ฐ๐น๐ถ๐บ๐ฏ, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 gaining 1.78% and 1.89%, respectively. Strong tech performance and easing inflation expectations are keeping sentiment positive.
ย ย โข ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฟ, with the DAX down 2.3% and the CAC 40 flat to slightly negative. Political uncertainty in France and softer industrial data weighed on sentiment.
ย ย โข ๐๐๐ถ๐ฎ๐ป ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ, with Japanโs Nikkei flat and Hong Kongโs Hang Seng up 0.6%. Chinese stimulus expectations and signs of improved credit flow continued to support regional indices.
ย ย โข ๐จ.๐ฆ. ๐ถ๐ป๐ณ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐ณ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป, with CPI falling to 2.07%, increasing market conviction that the Fed may start cutting rates by Q4 2025. This contrasts with India's already proactive monetary easing.
๐ฑ. ๐๐ผ๐บ๐บ๐ผ๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐ & ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ โ ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฑ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ด๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป, ๐ฟ๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ป๐
ย ย โข ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฑ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฎ ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฝ๐น๐, up 2.9% this week and over 31% year-to-date. Gold remains in demand as a hedge against global volatility, currency depreciation, and geopolitical uncertainty.
ย ย โข ๐๐ฟ๐๐ฑ๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ถ๐น ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ, with Brent trading near $74 per barrel, as concerns over global demand continue to outweigh OPEC+ production controls.
ย ย โข ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐น๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐๐น๐ ๐๐ผ โน๐ด๐ฒ.๐ฌ๐ต ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐จ๐ฆ๐, reflecting the rate differential between the Fed and RBI. However, FPI inflows and a strong macro backdrop are helping limit the downside.
๐จ๐ป๐๐ถ๐น ๐ป๐ฒ๐
๐ ๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ, ๐ ๐ฏ๐๐ฒ! ๐