Samasthiti Advisors
Samasthiti Advisors
June 20, 2025 at 02:31 PM
๐—ฆ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ ๐—”๐—ฑ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ฟโ€™๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ๐—น๐˜† ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ง๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ โ€“ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ ๐Ÿญ. ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—˜๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ โ€“ ๐—ฃ๐˜‚๐—น๐—น๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐˜€๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐˜€ ย ย โ€ข Indian equity markets corrected this week, with broad-based declines across size segments. The Nifty 50 was down 1.18%, while the Nifty 500 lost 2.2%. Sentiment was dampened by global volatility, profit booking, and a moderation in risk appetite after the recent rally. ย ย โ€ข Midcaps and smallcaps were hit harder, with the Nifty Smallcap 250 declining 3.8% and the Nifty Midcap 150 down 1.0%. The correction followed a period of outperformance and appears to reflect portfolio rebalancing and concerns about stretched valuations in some segments. ย ย โ€ข The Nifty Next 50 posted the sharpest drop, down 3.77% for the week and nearly 8% over the past year. Weakness in financials, consumption, and industrial names contributed to the underperformance. ย ย โ€ข Equal-weighted indices also lagged, with the Nifty 50 Equal Weight down 1.45%, indicating that the selling was broad-based and not limited to heavyweights alone. ย ย โ€ข Despite the weekโ€™s weakness, longer-term performance remains solid, with 1-year and 3-year returns for broader indices still in the 20โ€“30% range. ๐Ÿฎ. ๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜€ & ๐—ฆ๐˜๐˜†๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜€ โ€“ ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฝ๐—ต๐—ฎ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐˜‚๐—บ ย ย โ€ข High-beta strategies faced selling pressure, as the Nifty Alpha 50 declined 2.5% for the week. The strategy has underperformed YTD, reflecting volatility in individual names and reduced investor appetite for concentrated bets. ย ย โ€ข Momentum strategies also saw a pullback, with the Nifty 200 Momentum 30 down 1.5%. While it remains strong over a 3-month window, recent performance has been volatile amid shifting sector leadership. ย ย โ€ข Defensive styles held up relatively better, though they too ended in the red. Low-volatility and quality indices declined around 1.1%, outperforming beta-oriented strategies but still reflecting the broader risk-off sentiment. ย ย โ€ข Multi-factor approaches combining alpha, quality, and low-volatility also posted negative returns, but their diversified nature helped contain the drawdowns to some extent. ๐Ÿฏ. ๐—™๐—ถ๐˜…๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—œ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ โ€“ ๐—ฌ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ ย ย โ€ข Bond yields ticked up slightly this week, with the 10-year government bond yield rising 8.6 basis points to 6.31%. The move reflects some near-term uncertainty in global markets and a pause in local bond buying. ย ย โ€ข The 5-year G-sec yield also rose to 6.01%, while the 3-year yield was steady. This continues the curveโ€™s steepening trend, albeit at a slower pace than in previous weeks. ย ย โ€ข Short-end rates were mixed, with the 6-month T-bill yield moving to 5.42%, reflecting minor liquidity shifts and RBIโ€™s ongoing monitoring of short-term rates. ย ย โ€ข Despite the uptick, yields are well below their 6-month highs, and the market retains an easing bias given the downward trend in inflation. ๐Ÿฐ. ๐—š๐—น๐—ผ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜€ โ€“ ๐— ๐—ถ๐˜…๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ฑ ๐—ด๐—น๐—ผ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜† ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐˜† ย ย โ€ข U.S. equities posted small losses, with the S&P 500 down 0.69% and the Nasdaq 100 lower by 0.35%. Markets digested a mix of soft inflation data and conflicting signals from Fed officials. ย ย โ€ข Europe fared worse, with the DAX down 3% and Franceโ€™s CAC 40 off by 2.7%, reflecting political uncertainty in the Eurozone and weaker-than-expected economic indicators. ย ย โ€ข Japan stood out with gains, as the Nikkei rose 1.6%โ€”buoyed by a softer yen and investor expectations of continued BoJ support. ย ย โ€ข Emerging Asia saw modest weakness, with the Hang Seng falling 2.1% on concerns over Chinaโ€™s recovery momentum and global growth risks. ย ย โ€ข U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year yield declining 9.2 basis points to 4.39%, suggesting that global investors are still seeking safety amid market volatility. ๐Ÿฑ. ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ & ๐—™๐—ซ โ€“ ๐—ฅ๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€, ๐—ด๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€ ย ย โ€ข The rupee depreciated to โ‚น86.57/USD, as foreign fund outflows and the narrowing Fed-RBI policy gap pressured the currency. Volatility in global equities also weighed on sentiment. ย ย โ€ข Gold prices in India rose 0.58% this week, extending their year-to-date gain to over 31%. Persistent geopolitical uncertainty and central bank gold buying continue to support the asset class. ย ย โ€ข Crude oil prices were range-bound, with Brent trading near $77 per barrel. While global demand worries persist, supply-side dynamicsโ€”especially from OPEC+โ€”are helping stabilize prices. ๐—จ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—น ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜…๐˜ ๐˜๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ, ๐Ÿ‘‹ ๐—ฏ๐˜†๐—ฒ! ๐ŸŒŸ
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