
Samasthiti Advisors
June 20, 2025 at 02:31 PM
๐ฆ๐ฎ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐๐ต๐ถ๐๐ถ ๐๐ฑ๐๐ถ๐๐ผ๐ฟโ๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ๐น๐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฟ โ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐๐ป๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ฌ, ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฑ
๐ญ. ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐พ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐ โ ๐ฃ๐๐น๐น๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ ๐น๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฏ๐ ๐๐บ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐บ๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐
ย ย โข Indian equity markets corrected this week, with broad-based declines across size segments. The Nifty 50 was down 1.18%, while the Nifty 500 lost 2.2%. Sentiment was dampened by global volatility, profit booking, and a moderation in risk appetite after the recent rally.
ย ย โข Midcaps and smallcaps were hit harder, with the Nifty Smallcap 250 declining 3.8% and the Nifty Midcap 150 down 1.0%. The correction followed a period of outperformance and appears to reflect portfolio rebalancing and concerns about stretched valuations in some segments.
ย ย โข The Nifty Next 50 posted the sharpest drop, down 3.77% for the week and nearly 8% over the past year. Weakness in financials, consumption, and industrial names contributed to the underperformance.
ย ย โข Equal-weighted indices also lagged, with the Nifty 50 Equal Weight down 1.45%, indicating that the selling was broad-based and not limited to heavyweights alone.
ย ย โข Despite the weekโs weakness, longer-term performance remains solid, with 1-year and 3-year returns for broader indices still in the 20โ30% range.
๐ฎ. ๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ & ๐ฆ๐๐๐น๐ฒ๐ โ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ณ๐ถ๐ ๐ฏ๐ผ๐ผ๐ธ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฎ๐น๐ฝ๐ต๐ฎ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐บ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐๐บ
ย ย โข High-beta strategies faced selling pressure, as the Nifty Alpha 50 declined 2.5% for the week. The strategy has underperformed YTD, reflecting volatility in individual names and reduced investor appetite for concentrated bets.
ย ย โข Momentum strategies also saw a pullback, with the Nifty 200 Momentum 30 down 1.5%. While it remains strong over a 3-month window, recent performance has been volatile amid shifting sector leadership.
ย ย โข Defensive styles held up relatively better, though they too ended in the red. Low-volatility and quality indices declined around 1.1%, outperforming beta-oriented strategies but still reflecting the broader risk-off sentiment.
ย ย โข Multi-factor approaches combining alpha, quality, and low-volatility also posted negative returns, but their diversified nature helped contain the drawdowns to some extent.
๐ฏ. ๐๐ถ๐
๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ป๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ โ ๐ฌ๐ถ๐ฒ๐น๐ฑ๐ ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐บ๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐๐๐น๐ ๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐ ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฝ
ย ย โข Bond yields ticked up slightly this week, with the 10-year government bond yield rising 8.6 basis points to 6.31%. The move reflects some near-term uncertainty in global markets and a pause in local bond buying.
ย ย โข The 5-year G-sec yield also rose to 6.01%, while the 3-year yield was steady. This continues the curveโs steepening trend, albeit at a slower pace than in previous weeks.
ย ย โข Short-end rates were mixed, with the 6-month T-bill yield moving to 5.42%, reflecting minor liquidity shifts and RBIโs ongoing monitoring of short-term rates.
ย ย โข Despite the uptick, yields are well below their 6-month highs, and the market retains an easing bias given the downward trend in inflation.
๐ฐ. ๐๐น๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐น ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐๐ โ ๐ ๐ถ๐
๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ ๐ฎ๐บ๐ถ๐ฑ ๐ด๐น๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฝ๐ผ๐น๐ถ๐ฐ๐ ๐๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐๐
ย ย โข U.S. equities posted small losses, with the S&P 500 down 0.69% and the Nasdaq 100 lower by 0.35%. Markets digested a mix of soft inflation data and conflicting signals from Fed officials.
ย ย โข Europe fared worse, with the DAX down 3% and Franceโs CAC 40 off by 2.7%, reflecting political uncertainty in the Eurozone and weaker-than-expected economic indicators.
ย ย โข Japan stood out with gains, as the Nikkei rose 1.6%โbuoyed by a softer yen and investor expectations of continued BoJ support.
ย ย โข Emerging Asia saw modest weakness, with the Hang Seng falling 2.1% on concerns over Chinaโs recovery momentum and global growth risks.
ย ย โข U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year yield declining 9.2 basis points to 4.39%, suggesting that global investors are still seeking safety amid market volatility.
๐ฑ. ๐๐ผ๐บ๐บ๐ผ๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐ & ๐๐ซ โ ๐ฅ๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ป๐, ๐ด๐ผ๐น๐ฑ ๐ฒ๐
๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ ๐ด๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐
ย ย โข The rupee depreciated to โน86.57/USD, as foreign fund outflows and the narrowing Fed-RBI policy gap pressured the currency. Volatility in global equities also weighed on sentiment.
ย ย โข Gold prices in India rose 0.58% this week, extending their year-to-date gain to over 31%. Persistent geopolitical uncertainty and central bank gold buying continue to support the asset class.
ย ย โข Crude oil prices were range-bound, with Brent trading near $77 per barrel. While global demand worries persist, supply-side dynamicsโespecially from OPEC+โare helping stabilize prices.
๐จ๐ป๐๐ถ๐น ๐ป๐ฒ๐
๐ ๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ, ๐ ๐ฏ๐๐ฒ! ๐
๐
1